地球科学进展 doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2026.049   cstr: 32269.14.adearth.CN62-1091/P.2026.049

   

基于气候模式与氢氧稳定同位素技术在水循环研究中的应用与耦合潜力
张苗1,2,7,禹伟1,张凌3,姜雪2,黄晓娟4,尹立河5,6*   
  1. (1. 陕西师范大学 地理科学与旅游学院,陕西 西安 710119;2. 中国地质大学(武汉) 环境学院,湖北 武汉 430074;3. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院 遥感与地理信息科学研究室,甘肃 兰州 730000;4. 成都理工大学 地理与规划学院,四川 成都 610059;5. 中国地质调查局西安地质调查中心,陕西 西安 710119;6. 中国地质大学(武汉)地质调查研究院,湖北 武汉 430074;7. 自然资源部土地利用重点实验室,北京 100035)
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金委员会联合基金重点项目(编号:U2344224);科技部重大研究计划课题(编号:2023xjkk0101);西北地质科技创新专项基金(编号:XBKC2025-KF05)资助.

The Application and Coupling Potential of Climate Models with Stable Hydrogen and Oxygen Isotope Techniques in Hydrological Cycle Research#br#

Zhang Miao1, 2, 7, Yu Wei1, Zhang Ling3, Jiang Xue2, Huang Xiaojuan4, Yin Lihe5, 6*   

  1. (1. School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China; 2. School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China; 3. RS and GIS Research Division, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China; 4. School of Geography and Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China; 5. Xi’an Geological Survey Center of the China Geological Survey, Xi’an 710119, China; 6. Institute of Geological Survey and Research, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China; 7. Key Laboratory of Land Use, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100035, China)
  • About author:First author: Zhang Miao, research areas include the impacts of climate change and human activities on climate, hydrological cycle systems and water resources. E-mail: zmzpb_198755@snnu.edu.cn
  • Supported by:
    Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. U2344224); Major Research Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (Grant No. 2023xjkk0101); Northwest Geological Science and Technology Innovation Special Fund (Grant No. XBKC2025-KF05).
气候模式与氢氧稳定同位素技术是当前水循环过程研究的两种主要方法,系统梳理与比较二者的优势、局限性及耦合潜力,以期为水循环变化的定量研究提供方法学思路。气候模式能够连续模拟和预测不同时间与空间尺度上的水循环过程,并通过数值试验区分气候变化与人类活动引起的水文气象和生态水文效应,但对地下水流动、地表—地下水交互以及冰雪—大气相互作用等关键过程的表征仍存在不足,参数化方案和模拟结果也具有较大不确定性。氢氧稳定同位素技术可利用不同水体的同位素组成及分馏特征,识别水分来源、运移路径和转化关系,为水循环过程诊断、模式校准及误差约束提供独立信息,但受观测站点不足、采样代表性、分馏机制复杂及尺度外推困难等因素限制。研究发现,两种方法具有显著的优势互补性,其有效耦合能够提升水循环过程的定量解析和模拟预测能力,但仍面临诸多瓶颈,未来应以观测加密为基础、机制认知为驱动、模式标准化为支撑、同化约束为保障、智能融合为突破,系统推进该领域深化发展。
Abstract:Climate models and stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope techniques are two major approaches currently used to investigate hydrological cycle processes. Their coupling can improve the quantitative analysis, simulation, and prediction of hydrological cycle processes. This study systematically reviews and compares their advantages, limitations, and coupling potential, with the aim of providing methodological insights for the quantitative investigation of hydrological cycle changes. Climate models can continuously simulate and predict hydrological cycle processes across different spatial and temporal scales and distinguish the hydrometeorological and ecohydrological effects of climate change and human activities through numerical experiments. However, their representation of key processes, including groundwater flow, surface water-groundwater interactions, and cryosphere-atmosphere interactions, remains inadequate, while considerable uncertainties persist in parameterization schemes and simulation results. Stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope techniques can use differences in the isotopic composition and fractionation characteristics of different water bodies to identify water sources, transport pathways, and transformation relationships, thereby providing independent information for hydrological process diagnosis, model calibration, and error constraint. Nevertheless, their application is limited by insufficient observation sites, inadequate sampling representativeness, complex fractionation mechanisms, and difficulties in scale extrapolation. The two approaches are highly complementary, and their effective coupling can improve the quantitative interpretation, simulation, and prediction of hydrological cycle processes. However, substantial bottlenecks remain. Future research should promote the further development of this field by strengthening observation networks as the foundation, advancing mechanistic understanding as the driving force, improving model standardization as the technical support, enhancing data assimilation constraints as the safeguard, and pursuing intelligent integration as a key breakthrough.

中图分类号: 

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