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地球科学进展  2010, Vol. 25 Issue (1): 1-6    DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2010.01.0001
院士论坛     
地球系统动力学模式和模拟研究的进展
曾庆存,林朝晖
中国科学院大气物理研究所
Recent Progress on the Earth System Dynamical Model and Its Numerical Simulations
Zeng Qingcun,Lin Zhaohui
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
 全文: PDF 
摘要:

概述地球系统动力学模式的由来及国内外目前的研究和模拟进展。地球系统动力学模式是描述全球气候以及生态和环境系统的整体耦合演变的数学表达。利用他作大规模数值模拟,以便认识和预测全球和区域的气候和生态环境变化,有效应对防灾减灾和规划可持续发展等。目前国内外尚未完全研制出可供实用的地球系统模式,还须二三年时间。

关键词: 地球系统动力学模式气候系统生态和环境系统全球变化防灾减灾可持续发展    
Abstract:

This paper briefly describes the initiative of the earth system dynamic model, recent international and domestic progress on the model development and its numerical simulations. As the mathematical representation of the integrated evolution of coupled climate, ecosystem and environmental system, earth system dynamical model can be applied for the longterm simulation in order for the understanding and prediction of climate and environmental change from global to regional scale, hence for the disaster prevention and mitigation, and the planning for sustainable development. At present, there is no practical earth system model available for the real applications, and it will take about two to three years′ efforts in order to have such an integrated model system.

Key words: Earth system dynamical model    Climate system    Ecosystem and environmental system    Global Change    Disaster prevention and mitigation    Sustainable development
收稿日期: 2009-11-17 出版日期: 2010-01-10
:  P541  
基金资助:

国家自然科学基金项目“地球系统动力学模式的理论框架及初步设计”(编号:40830103);中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目群“地球系统动力学模式研究”(编号:KZCX2-YW-217,KZCX2-YW-218,KZCX2-YW-219,KZCX2-YW-220)资助.

通讯作者: 曾庆存     E-mail: zengqc@mail.iap.ac.cn
作者简介: 曾庆存(1935-),男,广东阳江人,中国科学院院士,主要从事地球系统动力学模式、气候动力学及气候预测、地球流体力学、自然控制论、卫星遥感测量理论.E-mail:zengqc@mail.iap.ac.cn
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引用本文:

曾庆存,林朝晖. 地球系统动力学模式和模拟研究的进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2010, 25(1): 1-6.

Zeng Qingcun,Lin Zhaohui . Recent Progress on the Earth System Dynamical Model and Its Numerical Simulations. Advances in Earth Science, 2010, 25(1): 1-6.

链接本文:

http://www.adearth.ac.cn/CN/10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2010.01.0001        http://www.adearth.ac.cn/CN/Y2010/V25/I1/1

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