[1] Forrester J W. Urban Dynamics[M]. Cambridge MA: M.I.T. Press,1969.

[2] Forrester J W. Counterintuitive behavior of social systems [J]. Technology Review, 1971, 73 (3):52-68.

[3] Chen Shupeng. Complexity and systematism of geosciences [J]. Geographical Science,1991,11(4): 297-305.[陈述彭.地球科学的复杂性与系统性[J].地理科学,1991,11(4): 297-305.]

[4] Chen Shupeng. Urbanization and Urban Geographical System [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 1999.[陈述彭.城市化与城市地理系统[M] .北京:科学出版社,1999.]

[5] Batty M. New ways of looking at cities [J]. Nature, 1995, 377:574.

[6] Zhou Chenghu, Sun Zhanli, Xie Yichun. On Geographical Cellar Automation [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 1999.[周成虎,孙战利,谢一春. 地理元胞自动机研究[M]. 北京:科学出版社,1999.]

[7] Yang Kaizhong, Xue Ling. Spatial complexity: Regional science in 21th century[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2002, 17(1):5-11.[杨开忠,薛领.复杂区域科学:21世纪的区域科学[J].地球科学进展,2002, 17(1):5-11.]

[8] Wang Guanghua. Change of Construction Land-use and Regional Economical Development in China [D]. Beijing: Beijing University, 2003.[ 王广华.我国建设用地变化与区域经济可持续发展研究[D].北京:北京大学,2003.]

[9] Shi Yun, Xu Pengbo, Wang Ling, et al. Strategy of sustainable utilization of urban lands in China [J]. Journal of Shandong Agricultural University (Natural Science),2003,34 (3):388-392.[施云,徐鹏波,王岭,等.我国城市土地可持续利用对策研究[J].山东农业大学学报:自然科学版,2003,34 (3):388-392.]

[10] Zeng Hui,Xia Jie,Zhang Lei. The current status of urban landscape ecology study and its perspectives [J]. Geographical Sciences,2003,23(4):484-492.[曾辉,夏洁,张磊. 城市景观生态研究的现状与发展趋势[J].地理科学, 2003,23(4):484-492.]

[11] Zeng Hui,Jiang Ziying,Yu Hong,et al. Landscape Structure Study of Longhua Area in Shenzhen City during the Fast Urbanization Process Ⅲ Structure and Heterogeneity Analysis of Farmland [J]. Journal of Peking University (Natural Sciences),2000,36(2):221-230. [曾辉,江子瀛,喻红,等.深圳市龙华地区快速城市化过程中的景观结构研究Ⅲ:农业用地结构及异质性分析[J].北京大学学报:自然科学版,2000,36(2):221-230.]

[12] Yuan Yi, Shi Peijun, Liu Yinghui, et al. A study on the pattern of land cover during rapid urbanization: Shenzhen city as a case study [J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2003, 23(9):1 832-1 840.[袁艺,史培军,刘颖慧,等.快速城市化过程中土地覆盖格局研究[J].生态学报, 2003, 23(9):1 832-1 840.]

[13] Yang Jinsheng. Land-use change based landscape ecological pattern change in Tianjin [J]. Urban Ecology and Urban Environment, 2004, 6:53-54.[杨津生.基于土地利用变化的天津市景观生态格局变迁研究[J].城市生态与城市环境, 2004, 6:53-54.]

[14] Zhou Yixing. On relationships between urbanization and GDP [J]. Population and Economy,1982, (1): 28-33.[周一星.城市化与国民生产总值关系的规律性探讨[J]. 人口与经济, 1982, (1): 28-33.]

[15] Zhang Tingwei. On drivers of urbanization [J]. City Planning Review,1983,(5) :59-62.[张庭伟.对城市化发展动力的探讨[J].城市规划,1983,(5) :59-62.]

[16] Liu Hongxing. Characteristics and prediction of urbanization in Wenzhou City[J]. City Planning Review,1987, (2) :39-43.[刘红星.温州城镇化特点分析和水平预测[J].城市规划, 1987, (2) :39-43.]

[17] Xue Fengxuan,Yang Chun. Exo-urbanization: The case of the Zhujiang river delta [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,1997,52(3):193-206.[薛凤旋,杨春. 外资:发展中国家城市化的新动力:珠江三角洲个案研究[J].地理学报, 1997,52(3):193-206.]

[18] Chen Bingzhao. Beijing urban development strategies—Walking out of urban sprawl[J]. City Planning Review,1999,23(12):27-39.[陈秉钊.北京城市建设的战略抉择——抓住机遇摆脱“摊大饼”[J]. 城市规划, 1999,23(12):27-39.]

[19] Zhao Yanjing. China urbanization in the context of international strategies [J]. Urban Planning Forum, 2000, 1:6-12.[ 赵燕菁. 国际战略格局中的中国城市化[J]. 城市规划汇刊,2000,1:6-12.]

[20] Zhao Yanjing. Specialization and urbanization: A new analytical framework [J]. City Planning Review, 2000, 24(6):17-20.[赵燕菁. 专业分工与城市化:一个新的分析框架[J].城市规划, 2000,24(6):17-20.]

[21] Zhao Yanjing. Urban growth models under the conditions of rapid development[J]. Foreign Urban Planning, 2001,(1):27-33.[赵燕菁. 高速发展条件下的城市增长模式[J].国外城市规划, 2001,(1):27-33.]

[22] Tang Hairu. Institutional innovation: Thinking about promoting urbanization[J]. Urban Planning Forum, 2000,(5):41-43.[汤海孺. 制度创新:推进城市化进程的思考[J].城市规划汇刊,2000,(5):41-43.]

[23] Liu Shenghe, Wu Chuanjun, Shen Hongquan. A GIS based-model of urban land use growth in Beijing[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2000,55(4):409-416.[刘盛和,吴传钧,沈洪泉. 基于GIS的北京城市土地利用扩展模式[J].地理学报, 2000,55(4):409-416.]

[24] Li Haizheng, Zahniser S. The determinants of temporary rural-to-urban migration in China[J]. Urban Studies,2002, 39(12):2 219-2 235.

[25] Wu Liya. Progress on urbanization theoretical researches[J]. Urban Planning Forum,2004,4:43-48.[吴莉娅. 中国城市化理论研究进展[J].城市规划汇刊, 2004,4:43-48.]

[26] Claes Andersson, Alexander Hellervik, Kristian Lindgren, et al. The urban economy as a scale-free network [J]. Physical Review,2003,68:36-124.

[27] Zong Yueguang. The corridor effects and optimization of landscapes structure in a metropolitan area—A case study on Beijing[J]. Geographical Research,1998,17(2):119-124.[宗跃光.大都市空间扩展的廊道效应与景观结构优化——以北京市为例[J].地理研究,1998,17(2):119-124.]

[28] Liu Jiyuan, Yue Tianxiang, Wang Ying'an, et al. Digital simulation of population density in China [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2003, 58(1):17-24. [刘纪远, 岳天祥, 王英安,等.中国人口密度数字模拟[J].地理学报,2003,58(1):17-24.]

[29] Tian Yongzhong,Chen Shupeng,Yue Tianxiang, et al. Simulation of Chinese population density based on land use[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2004,59(2):283-292.[田永中, 陈述彭, 岳天祥,等.基于土地利用的中国人口密度模拟[J].地理学报, 2004,59(2):283-292.]

[30] Liao Shunbao, Sun Jiulin. GIS based spatialization of population census data in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2003,58(1):25-33.[ 廖顺宝,孙九林.基于GIS的青藏高原人口统计数据空间化[J].地理学报,2003,58(1):25-33.]

[31] Almeida E S. MINAS-SPACE: A Spatial Applied General Equilibrium Model for Planning and Analysis of Transportation Policies in Minas Gerais[D].Departamento de Economia/IPE, Universidade de São Paulo. São Paulo(in Portuguese), 2003.

[32] Batty M. Urban modeling in computer-graphic and Geographic Information System environments[J]. Environment and Planning,1992, 19:678-708.

[33] Birkin M. Elements of a model based Geographic Information Systems for the evaluation of urban policy[C]∥Geographic Information Systems. London: Belhaven Press,1990.

[34] White R, Engelen G. The use of constrained cellular automata for high-resolution modeling of urban land-use dynamics[J]. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design,1997, 24:323-343.

[35] White R, Engelen G. Cellular automata as the basis of integrated dynamic regional modeling[J]. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design,1997,24:235-246.

[36] Landis J. The california urban futures model: A new generation of metropolitan simulation models [J]. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design,1994,21(4):399-420.

[37] Zhang Xinsheng,Wang Baoshan. Simulation of resident spatial behavior and urban spatial growth[J]. Journal of Image and Graphics,1998,3(2):134-139.[张新生,王宝山.居住空间行为模型与城市空间增长[J].中国图象图形学报,1998,3(2):134-139.]

[38] Li Xia, Yeh Anthony Gar-On. Constrained cellular automata for modelling sustainable urban forms[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,1999,54(4):289-298.[黎夏,叶嘉安. 约束性单元自动演化CA模型及可持续城市发展形态的模拟[J]. 地理学报, 1999,54(4):289-298.]

[39] Li Xia, Yeh Anthony Gar-On. Principal component analysis and Cellular Automata’s application in spatial decision and Urban Simulation[J]. Science in China(Series D), 2001, (8):683-690.[黎夏, 叶嘉安. 主成分分析与Cellular Automata在空间决策与城市模拟中的应用[J]. 中国科学:D辑, 2001,(8):683-690.]

[40] Li Xia, Yeh Anthony Gar-On. Neural-network-based Cellular Automata for realistic and idealized urban simulation [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2002, 57(2):159-166.[黎夏, 叶嘉安. 基于神经网络的单元自动机CA及真实和优化的城市模拟[J]. 地理学报,2002,57(2):159-166.]

[41] Zhang Xianfeng. Cellular Automaton based urban growth dynamics modelling and prediction[J]. Journal of Graduate School,Academia Sinica,2000,17(1):70-79.[张显峰.基于CA的城市扩展动态模拟与预测[J].中国科学院研究生院学报, 2000,17(1):70-79.]

[42] Xiao Chunsheng, Yan Shouyong, Huang Lifang, et al. The urban expanding simulation with the Cellular Automata model in Haikou [J]. City Planning Review,2002,126(18):69-73. [肖春生,阎守邕,黄丽芳,等. 细胞自动机模型用于城市发展模拟的方法初探[J].城市规划, 2002,126(18):69-73. ]

[43] Du Ningrui, Deng Bing. Cellular automata and their application to modeling spatial-temporal process of urban development [J]. Engineering Journal of Wuhan University,2001,34(6):8-11.[杜宁睿, 邓冰. 细胞自动机及其在模拟城市时空演化过程中的应用[J].武汉大学学报:工学版, 2001,34(6):8-11.]

[44] He Chunyang, Shi Peijun, Chen Jin, et al. A study on land use/ cover change in Beijing area [J]. Geographical Research, 2001, 20(6):679-687.[何春阳, 史培军, 陈晋, 等.北京地区土地利用覆盖变化研究[J]. 地理研究, 2001, 20(6):679-687.]

[45] Chen Yanguang, Zhou Yixing. Cellular Automata and simulation of spatial complexity of urban systems: History, present situation and future [J]. Economic Geography, 2000, 20(3):35-39. [陈彦光,周一星. 细胞自动机与城市系统的空间复杂性模拟:历史、现状与前景[J]. 经济地理, 2000, 20(3):35-39.]

[46] Wang Hong, Lü Guonian, Chen Gan. Application of Cellular Automata to urban dynamic process modelling for Nanjing City [J]. Human Geography,2002,17(1):47-50.[王红, 闾国年, 陈干. 细胞自动机及在南京城市演化预测中的应用[J]. 人文地理, 2002,17(1):47-50.]

[47] Wang Chunfeng. Using RS and CA to Simulate Urban Sprawl [M]. Beijing: Survey and Mapping Press, 2002. [王春峰. 用遥感和单元自动演化方法研究城市扩展问题[M]. 北京:测绘出版社, 2002. ]

[48] Zhao Wenjie, Liu Zhaoli. The application of cellular automata in environmental sciences [J]. Journal of Northeast Normal University, 2003, 35(2):87-92. [赵文杰, 刘兆理. 元胞自动机在环境科学中的应用[J]. 东北师大学报:自然科学版, 2003, 35(2):87-92.]

[49] Xue Ling, Yang Kaizhong. Sciences of complexity and studies of evolutional simulation of regional spatial structure [J]. Geographical Research,2002,21(1):79-88.[薛领,杨开忠. 复杂性科学理论与区域空间演化模拟研究[J]. 地理研究, 2002,21(1):79-88.]

[50] Wooldridge M, Jennings R. Methodology for agent-oriented analysis and Design[C]∥Etzioni O,eds. Agents′99: Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Autonomous Agents. Seatlle, WA May,1998.

[51] Xue Ling. Multi-agent based Urban Spatial Evolution Simulation[D]. Beijing: Beijing University, 2002. [薛领. 基于多主体(multi-agent)的城市空间演化模拟研究[D]. 北京:北京大学,2002.]

[52] Zhang Jinmu, Wu Bo, Shen Tiyan. Research on dynamic simulation of Beijing land covering & changing by applying agent modeling [J]. Journal of East China Institute of Technology, 2004, 27(1):80-83. [张金牡,吴波,沈体雁.基于Agent 模型的北京市土地利用变化动态模拟研究[J]. 东华理工学院学报, 2004, 27(1):80-83.]

[53] Klosterman R E. Large scale urban models: Retrospect and prospect [J]. Journal of the American Planning Association 1,1994,60:36.

[54] Wang Jinfeng, Li Lianfa, Ge Yong, et al. A theoretic framework for spatial analysis [J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2000,55(1):92-102.[王劲峰,李连发,葛咏,等.地理信息空间分析的理论体系探讨[J].地理学报,2000, 55(1):92-102.]

[55] Klaus Hubacek, Laixiang Sun. Land Use Change at the National and Regional Level in China: A Scenario Analysis Based on Input-Output Modeling[R]. Interim Report of International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IR-00-053),2001.

[56] Klaus Hubacek, Laixiang Sun. Land Use Change in China: A Scenario Analysis based on Input-Output Modeling[R]. Interim Report of International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IR-99-073),2001.

[57] Tomas De La Barra, et al. Integrated land use and transportation modeling: The Tranus experience[C]∥Planning Support System: Integrating Geographic Information System, Models and Visualization Tools[M]. ESRI Press,2001:129-156.

[58] Maureen Kilkenny. Explicit spatial rural-urban computable general equilibrium [J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics,1999,181(3): 647-652.

[59] Landis J. CUF, CUF II and CURBA: A family of spatially explicit urban growth and land-use policy simulation models[C]∥Richard K Brail, Richard E Klosterman. Planning Support Systems: Integrating Geographic Information Systems, Models and Visualization Tools. ESRI Press,2001.

[60] Landis J. Imagining land use futures: Applying the California urban futures model[J]. Journal of the American Planning Association,1995,61(4. Autumn): 438-457.

[61] Eliecer E, Vargas, Schreiner F, et al. Computer General Equilibrium Modeling For Regional Analysis[EB/OL]. http://www.rri.wvu.edu/Webbook/Schreiner/contents.htm,2006-04-25.

[62] Walter Isard, Iwan J Azis, et al. Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis[M]. Ashgate Publishing Limited Gower House,1998.

[63] Huang Jikun. Models of agricultural policy analysis and prediction in China[C]∥China Applied Macro-economic Models. Beijing: China Financial & Economical Press,1999:240-262.[黄季焜. 中国农业政策分析和预测模型[C]∥中国实用宏观经济模型.北京:中国财政经济出版社,1999:240-262.]

[64] Huang Jikun, Li Ninghui. China’s agricultural policy simulation and projection model-CAPSIM [J]. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition), 2003, 3(2):30-41. [黄季焜, 李宁辉. 中国农业政策分析和预测模型——CAPSiM[J]. 南京农业大学学报:社会科学版, 2003, 3(2):30-41.]

[65] Li Xuesong. Using CGE models to analyze impacts of WTO on China economy[J]. Quantitative and Technical Economics, 2000,17(10):21-24.[ 李雪松. 加入WTO对中国经济影响的CGE模型比较分析[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2000,17(10):21-24.]

[66] Zhou Zhuohua, Yang Jun, Zhang Linhua, et al. Methods, principles and problems of CGE model’s solving [J]. Journal of Chongqing University(Natural Science Edition), 2002, 25(3):142-145. [周焯华,杨俊,张林华,等. CGE模型的求解方法、原理和存在问题[J]. 重庆大学学报:自然科学版,2002,25(3):142-145.]

[67] Wu Yajun, Xuan Xiaowei. Environmental Tax Theories and Their Application in China [M]. Beijing: Economical Science Press,2002. [武亚军, 宣晓伟. 环境税经济理论及对中国的应用分析[M]. 北京:经济科学出版社,2002. ]

[68] Jiang Jinhe, Yao Yufang. Building economy-energy system models for climate change policy analysis [J]. Quantitative and Technical Economics,2002, (7):41-45. [蒋金荷,姚愉芳. 气候变化政策研究中经济—能源系统模型的构建[J].数量经济技术经济研究, 2002, (7):41-45.]

[69] Zhou Jianjun, Wang Tao. Financial CGE models and their applications [J]. Financial Education and Researches,2003, (1):2-4. [周建军,王韬. 金融CGE模型研究与应用[J]. 金融教学与研究, 2003, (1):2-4.]

[70] Li Hongxin, Fu Boying. General equilibrium analysis and application pattern inquiry to environmental taxation[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment,2004,14(3):19-22. [李洪心, 付伯颖. 对环境税的一般均衡分析与应用模式探讨[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2004,14(3):19-22. ]

[71] Hans Löfgren, Sherman Robinson. Spatial Networks in Multi-Region Computable General Equilibrium Models[R]. Discussion Paper No. 35 of Trade and Macroeconomics Division of International Food Policy Research Institute,1999.

[72] Alex Anas,Hyok-Joo Rhee. Curbing Excess Sprawl with Congestion Tolls and Urban Boundaries[Z]. 2004 Annual Meeting paper of North American Regional Science Association (August Seattle),2004.

[73] Wu Lun, Liu Yu, Zhang Jing, et al. Geographical Information System—Principle, Methodologies and Applications [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2001.[邬伦,刘宇,张晶,等. 理信息系统——原理、方法和应用[M]. 北京:科学出版社,2001.]

[74] Li Deren, Shao Zhenfeng, Zhu Xinyan. Spatial information multi-grid and its typical application [J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 2004, 29(11): 945-950.[李德仁,邵振峰,朱欣焰. 论空间信息多级格网及其典型应用[J]. 武汉大学学报:信息科学版, 2004, 29(11): 945-950.]

[75] Shi Peijun, Song Changqing, Jing Guifei. Strengthening the study of land Use/cover change and its impact on eco-environmental security—The trend of the study of the dynamics of Human-Nature system based on “Global Change Open Science Conference 2001” in Amsterdam, Netherlands[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2002, 17(2): 161-168. [史培军, 宋长青, 景贵飞. 加强我国土地利用/ 覆盖变化及其对生态环境安全影响的研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2002, 17(2): 161-168.]

[76] Liu Yanhua, Ge Quansheng, Zhang Xueqin. Research of human dimensions on global environmental change in China[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2004,19(6):889-895. [刘燕华, 葛全胜, 张雪芹. 关于中国全球环境变化人文因素研究发展方向的思考[J]. 地球科学进展, 2004,19(6):889-895. ]