地球科学进展 doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2025.094

   

基于生态系统服务供需平衡的奈曼旗生态管理分区
曾小箕1,2,李嘉诚1,2,祝秀慧1,2   
  1. (1. 江西财经大学 数字经济学院,江西 南昌 330013;2. 江西财经大学 生态文明研究院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“鄱阳湖流域城市景观过程对生态系统服务影响的情景模拟研究”(编号:42061040)资助.

Ecological Management Zoning Based on Ecosystem Service Supply-demand Balance: A Case Study in Naiman Banner, China

ZENG Xiaoji1, 2, LI Jiacheng1, 2, ZHU Xiuhui1, 2   

  1. (1. School of Digital Economics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China;2. Institute of Ecological Civilization, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)
  • About author:ZENG Xiaoji, research areas include landscape patterns and ecosystem services, ecological economics. E-mail: zenger0323@163.com
  • Supported by:
    Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 42061040, 42371285).
研究生态系统服务供需关系并开展分区管理,对协调生态与社会经济发展具有重要意义。以奈曼旗为研究区,基于InVEST 模型、冷热点分析与地理探测器,探究了2000—2020 年奈曼旗生态系统服务的供需变化及影响因素。结果表明:①奈曼旗生态系统服综合供给能力增长了19.81%,需求下降了11.09%,供需比整体改善39.73%,空间上呈现“南北盈余、中部赤字”的格局。②林地占比是热点区的主要驱动因子,沙地占比是冷点区的核心驱动因子。③基于综合生态系统服务供需比、供需匹配关系及其冷热点面积占比,将奈曼旗划分为由生态保育区、生态修复区、生态提升区和生态发展区构成的6 类二级与10 类三级生态管理分区,并针对不同分区提出差异化生态管控策略,为奈曼旗生态保护与可持续发展提供科学依据。
Abstract: Studying the supply-demand relationship of ecosystem services and implementing zoned management are crucial for reconciling ecological protection with socioeconomic development in ecologically fragile regions. This study takes Naiman Banner, a typical sandy land area in Northern China, as a case study. We quantified the supply of key ecosystem services (e.g., water yield, carbon sequestration, and soil conservation) from 2000 to 2020 using the InVEST model, while the demand was assessed based on socioeconomic data. Spatiotemporal patterns were analyzed using hotspot-cold spot analysis, and the driving mechanisms behind the comprehensive ecosystem service supply-demand ratio were investigated using the GeoDetector model. The results revealed three key findings. First, over the two decades, the overall supply capacity of ecosystem services in Naiman Banner increased by 19.81%, whereas the demand decreased by 11.09%. Consequently, the overall supply-demand ratio improved significantly by 39.73%, indicating a substantial enhancement in ecological sustainability. Spatially, the comprehensive supply-demand ratio exhibited a distinct pattern of ‘surplus in the north and south with a deficit in the center’, primarily shaped by the regional landscape configuration and the intensity of human activities. Second, factor detection identified that the proportion of forest land was the primary driver of hotspot areas (high supply-demand ratio), underscoring the critical role of afforestation and forest conservation. Conversely, the proportion of sandy land was identified as the core driver of cold spot areas (low supply-demand ratio), highlighting the impact of desertification. Third, based on an integrated analysis of the comprehensive supply-demand ratio, its spatial matching relationship, and the proportional areas of hotspots and cold spots, a systematic ecological management zoning scheme was developed. Naiman Banner was categorized into six secondary and ten tertiary zones, which were classified into four major types: ecological conservation, ecological restoration, ecological enhancement, and ecological development. Targeted and differentiated management strategies were proposed for each zone. This research provides a scientific basis for precise ecological protection and sustainable socio-economic development in Naiman Banner, offering a replicable framework for similar arid and semi-arid regions.

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