地球科学进展 ›› 2004, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (3): 478 -483. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2004.03.0478

研究论文 上一篇    下一篇

滑坡时间预测预报研究进展
许强;黄润秋;李秀珍   
  1. 成都理工大学地质灾害防治与地质环境保护国家专业实验室,四川 成都 610059
  • 收稿日期:2004-04-09 修回日期:2004-04-29 出版日期:2004-12-20
  • 通讯作者: 许强(1968-),男,四川南江人,教授,主要从事地质灾害评价预测及防治处理方面的教学和科研工作. E-mail:E-mail:xq@cdut.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目“水库诱发型滑坡成因机理及其预测预报研究”(编号:40172096);高等学校优秀青年教师教学科研奖励计划及重大基础研究前期研究专项计划(编号:2002cccd1500)资助

RESEARCH PROGRESS IN TIME FORECAST AND PREDICTION OF LANDSLIDES

XU Qiang,HUANG Runqiu,LI Xiuzhen   

  1. National Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
  • Received:2004-04-09 Revised:2004-04-29 Online:2004-12-20 Published:2004-06-01

我国是一个深受滑坡灾害困扰的国家,每年由滑坡所造成的经济损失异常惨重。因此,滑坡预测预报已成为人们研究的一个热点问题。对滑坡时间预测预报的研究现状和研究进展作了系统地总结,重点探讨了滑坡预报模型(包括定量预报模型、定性预报模型以及GMD预报模型等)、预报判据研究方面的进展,提出了滑坡综合信息预报的思路及具体的实施技术路线。

China is one of nations deeply puzzled by landslide disaster, the economic loss caused by landslides every year is very serious. Therefore, the landslide forcast and prediction has become a hot topic studied by people. In this paper, the research present situation and progress on the landslide time prediction are systematically summarized, especially, the progress is emphatically discussed about the landslide forecast models (including quantitative forecast models、qualitative forecast model as well as GMD forecast model and so on) and the forecast criterions, and the comprehensive information prediction and its specific technology route are proposed.

中图分类号: 

[1]Xu Qiang(许强),Huang Runqiu(黄润秋),Li Xiuzhen(李秀珍),et al.Summary on prediction models and criterions of landslides and development on landslide prediction and evaluation system[R]. The science and technology special plan of the national territory resources department in 2000: the research report about three Gorges of the Yangtze River geology disaster monitor and forecast. Chengdu: Chengdu University of Technology(成都理工大学), 2001(in Chinese).
[2]Wang Shangqing(王尚庆),et al.Landslide Monitor and Forecast of Three Gorges of the Yangtze River[M]. Beijing: Geological Publishing House,1998(in Chinese).
[3]Li Tianbin(李天斌),Chen Mingdong(陈明东),Wang lansheng(王兰生),et al.Landslide Realtime Tracking Prediction[M].Chengdu: Chengdu Scientific and Technical University Publishing House,1999(in Chinese).
[4]Qing Siqing(秦四清),Zhang Zhuoyuan(张倬元),Wang Shitian(王士天),et al. Non-linear Science Guiding[M]. Chengdou: Southwest Jiaotong University Publishing House,1993(in Chinese).
[5]Huang Runqiu(黄润秋),Xu Qiang(许强). Analysis Principle and Application of Engineering Geology Generalized Systems Science[M]. Beijing: Geological Publishing House,1997(in Chinese).
[6]Li Xiuzhen(李秀珍),Xu Qiang(许强). Landslide prediction models and prediction criterions[J]. Journal of Catastrophology(灾害学),2003,18(4):71-78(in Chinese).
[7]Li Yanrong(李彦荣). Landslide prediction and evaluation system development and application research Based on GIS[Master paper D]. Chengdu: Chengdu University of Technology,2002(in Chinese).
[8]Li Dongshan(李东山). Development and application research of landslide synthesis prediction expert system[Master paper D]. Chengdu: Chengdu University of Technology, 2002(in Chinese).

[1] 王鹏,邓红卫. 基于 GISLogistic回归模型的洪涝灾害区划研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020, 35(10): 1064-1072.
[2] 杨秋明. 长江下游夏季低频温度和高温天气的延伸期预报研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2018, 33(4): 385-395.
[3] 王琳, 武虹, 贾鑫. 西辽河地区史前聚落的时空演变与生业模式和气候历史的相关性研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2016, 31(11): 1159-1171.
[4] 邬群勇, 孙梅, 崔磊. 时空数据模型研究综述[J]. 地球科学进展, 2016, 31(10): 1001-1011.
[5] 卢辉雄, 王永军, 汪冰, 张恩, 王瑞军, 李名松. 基于GIS的层次分析法在沽源地区铀成矿预测中的应用[J]. 地球科学进展, 2014, 29(8): 968-973.
[6] 胡庆武,林春峰,余 飞,曾力. 多维GIS矿产评价数据管理系统设计和实现[J]. 地球科学进展, 2010, 25(9): 990-996.
[7] 黎夏,李丹,刘小平,何晋强. 地理模拟优化系统GeoSOS及前沿研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2009, 24(8): 899-907.
[8] 唐川,章书成. 水力类泥石流起动机理与预报研究进展与方向[J]. 地球科学进展, 2008, 23(8): 787-793.
[9] 杨武年,李天华,廖崇高,刘汉湖,谢春庆,简季,曾涛,戴晓爱,夏涛,万里红. 高原机场建设工程“3S”技术综合应用[J]. 地球科学进展, 2008, 23(5): 457-462.
[10] 陈翠华,倪师军,何彬彬,张成江. 基于GIS技术的江西德兴地区水系沉积物重金属污染的潜在生态危害研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2008, 23(3): 312-322.
[11] 沈体雁. CGE与GIS集成的中国城市增长情景模拟框架研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2006, 21(11): 1153-1163.
[12] 李庆谋. 多维分形克里格方法[J]. 地球科学进展, 2005, 20(2): 248-256.
[13] 田光进. 基于遥感与GIS的中国城镇用地扩展特征[J]. 地球科学进展, 2003, 18(4): 504-508.
[14] 江东,杨小唤,王乃斌,刘红辉. 基于RS、GIS的人口空间分布研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2002, 17(5): 734-738.
[15] 袁艳斌;张勇传;王乘;袁晓辉. 流域地理景观的GIS数据三维可视化[J]. 地球科学进展, 2002, 17(4): 497-501.
阅读次数
全文


摘要