神经网络分析方法在瓦斯预测中的应用

doi:10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2004.05.0860

地球科学进展 ›› 2004, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (5): 860 -866. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2004.05.0860

神经网络分析方法在瓦斯预测中的应用

吴财芳;曾勇;秦勇

中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院，江苏徐州 221008

收稿日期:2003-06-06 修回日期:2003-10-14 出版日期:2004-12-20
通讯作者: 吴财芳（1976-），男，山东烟台人，博士后，主要从事瓦斯、煤层气地质与人工智能的研究. E-mail:E-mail：caifangwu@sina.com

THE APPLICATION OF THE ANALYTIC METHODS OF NEURAL NETWORKS TO GAS-FORECASTING FIELD

WU Cai-fang, ZENG Yong, QIN Yong

Resource Engineering And Earth Science College, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008, China

Received:2003-06-06 Revised:2003-10-14 Online:2004-12-20 Published:2004-10-01

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论述了瓦斯预测技术的研究现状及其在现代矿业中面临的新问题，介绍了神经网络技术在处理复杂地质条件方面的优越性，探讨了瓦斯预测技术与人工神经网络等高新技术相结合的可能性与必要性，并举例论证了它们在瓦斯预测过程中的适用性。实践证明：瓦斯预测技术与人工神经网络相结合所建立的预测模型，不仅能够综合考虑各种影响因素，较好地处理地质条件中的各种非线性关系，而且预测精度高，结论可靠，为瓦斯预测技术的进一步发展提供了新的思路。

关键词: 神经网络, 瓦斯预测, 瓦斯含量, 瓦斯涌出量, 煤与瓦斯突出

The research state of the gas-forecasting technologies and the new problems in the field of modern mining are explained. The advantage of neural networks in dealing with the complicated geological factors is introduced, and the possibility and necessity of combining the gas-forecasting technologies and the high, new techniques of artificial intelligence are discussed. The paper brings forward several new methods and gives examples to demonstrate their applicability in the process of forecasting coal and gas outburst. Past work proves that the forecasting models founded
and based on the gas-forecasting technology and artificial neural network can not only consider many affecting factors roundly and deal with all non-linear connections in geologic conditions preferably, but also have high precision and reliable conclusions, which offer new thought for the further developments of the gas-forecasting technologies.

Key words: Neural networks, Gas forecast, Gas content, Gas gushing quantity, Coal and gas outburst

中图分类号:

TD712
TP183

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