Progress and Prospect of Statistics and Assessment of Large-scale Natural Disaster Damage and Losses
First author:Wang Xi(1983-), female, Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province, Assistant professor. Research areas include natural disaster damage & loss assessment and disaster relief. E-mail:wangxi@ndrcc.gov.cn
Received date: 2018-06-03
Revised date: 2018-08-23
Online published: 2018-10-24
Supported by
* Foundation item:Project supported by the National Key Research and Development Program—Global Change and Mitigation Project "Global change risk of population and economic system: Mechanism and assessment"(No.2016YFA0602403).
Copyright
In June 2014, the "Statistics System for the Damage and Loss of Large-scale Natural Disasters" (SSDLLND) was issued by the Ministry of Civil Affairs and the Office of National Disaster Reduction Committee, which marked that the statistics and assessment of China's catastrophic natural disaster damage and losses formally entered a new stage of institutionalization. On the basis of analyzing the five major international disaster damage and loss assessment systems, including HAZUS-MH, ECLAC, DaLA, EMA-DLA and PDNA, the differences between the “SSDLLND” of China and five major international systems were compared from the statistics and assessment contents and indicators. Combined with the statistics and assessment practices of China’s large-scale disaster damage and losses and the characteristics of international systems in recent years, the future development of the SSDLLND were proposed in three aspects: Enriching and improving the framework of damage and loss statistics content, stepwise improvement of disaster impact assessment methods (such as the ecological capital loss assessment, tourism industry loss assessment due to the disasters, etc.), and improving indicators and parameters of loss statistics. The study has an important practical significance for improving the statistics and assessment system of the damage and loss of major natural disasters and better serving the post-disaster recovery and reconstruction decision-making.
Key words: Large-scale natural disaster; Loss statistics; PDNA; DaLA; HAZUS-MH.
Xi Wang , Hongjian Zhou . Progress and Prospect of Statistics and Assessment of Large-scale Natural Disaster Damage and Losses[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2018 , 33(9) : 914 -921 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2018.09.0914
[1] | Office of Sichuan Provincial People’s Government.Overall Planning for Post-Jiuzhaigou (8 August 2017) Earthquake Restoration and Reconstruction[EB/OL]. (2017-11-07)[2018-05-20]. |
[1] | [四川省人民政府办公厅. “8·8”九寨沟地震灾后恢复重建总体规划[EB/OL].(2017-11-07)[2018-05-20]. .] |
[2] | Sichuan Development and Reform Commission.Series 6 Ofunderstanding of Overall Planning for Post-Jiuzhaigou Earthquake Restoration and Reconstruction[EB/OL]. (2017-11-09)[2018-05-20]. |
[2] | [四川省发展与改革委员会 . 《“8·8”九寨沟地震灾后恢复重建总体规划》解读之六[EB/OL].(2017-11-09)[2018-05-20]. |
[3] | Office of State Council.Emergency Plan for National Natural Disaster Relief[EB/OL]. (2016-03-24)[2017-11-20]. |
[3] | [国务院办公厅. 国家自然灾害救助应急预案[EB/OL]. (2016-03-24)[2017-11-20]. |
[4] | Zhou Hongjian, Wang Dandan, Yuan Yi,et al. New advances in statistics of large-scale natural disasters damage and loss: Explanation of “Statistical System of Large-scale Natural Disasters”[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2015, 30(5): 530-538. |
[4] | [周洪建, 王丹丹, 袁艺, 等. 中国特别重大自然灾害损失统计的最新进展——《特别重大自然灾害损失统计制度》解析[J]. 地球科学进展,2015,30(5):530-538.] |
[5] | Zhou Hongjian.Tennatural disaster damage and loss assessment systems in the world (Part A)[J]. Disaster Reduction in China, 2015, (1): 56-59. |
[5] | [周洪建. 全球十大灾害损失评估系统 (上)[J]. 中国减灾,2015,(1): 56-59.] |
[6] | Zhou Hongjian.Tennatural disaster damage and loss assessment systems in the world (Part B)[J]. Disaster Reduction in China, 2015, 2(A): 58-60. |
[6] | [周洪建. 全球十大灾害损失评估系统 (下)[J]. 中国减灾,2015,2(上): 58-60.] |
[7] | World Bank.The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development.Damage,Loss and Needs Assessment 2010[EB/OL].[2017-12-12]. |
[8] | FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency). HAZUS, FEMA’s Software for Estimating Potential Losses from Disasters[EB/OL].(2008-06-01)[2017-11-20].2008. |
[9] | EMA(Emergency Management Australia). Australia Emergency Manuals Series, Part III: Emergencymanagement practice, disaster loss assessment guidelines[M]. Canberra: Lllycfoft Pty Ltd., Brisbane and PenUltimate,2002. |
[10] | México N C S D. Handbookfor estimating the socio-economic and environmental effects of disasters[J]. Eclac, 2008, (2): 112-121. |
[11] | The government of Nepal. Nepalearthquake2015:Post Disaster Needs Assessment (Vol.B: Sector reports). [EB/OL].(2015-08-15)[2018-05-20]. |
[12] | EC (European Commission), GFDRR (Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery), WB (World Bank). Post-Disaster Needs Assessments Guidelines: Volume A.[EB/ OL]. |
[12] | [2018-05-20]. https:∥www.gfdrr.org/sites/default/files/publication/pdna-guidelines-vol-a.pdf. |
[13] | Shi Peijun, Yuan Yi.Integrated assessment of large-scale natural disasters in China[J].Progress in Geography, 2014, 33(9): 1 145-1 151. |
[13] | [史培军,袁艺. 重特大自然灾害综合评估[J]. 地理科学进展,2014,33(9):1 145-1 151.] |
[14] | Zhou Hongjian, Wang Xi.International comparisons of large-scale natural disasters damage and loss assessment: Based on “statistical system of large-scale natural disasters” and PDNA[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2017, 32(10):1 030-1 038. |
[14] | [周洪建,王曦. 特别重大自然灾害损失统计内容的国际对比——基于《特别重大自然灾害损失统计制度》和PDNA系统的分析[J]. 地球科学进展, 2017, 32(10): 1 030-1 038.] |
[15] | Scawthorn C, Flores P, Blais N,et al. HAZUS-MH flood loss estimation methodology II: Damage and loss assessment[J].Natural Hazards Review, 2006, (5): 72-81. |
[16] | Ministry of Civil Affairs, National Bureau of Statistics. Statisticalsystem of the Large-scale Natural Disaster Loss[EB/OL].(2014-05-09)[2018-05-20]. |
[16] | [民政部、国家统计局.特别重大自然灾害损失统计制度[EB/ OL]. (2014-05-09)[2018-05-20]. .] |
[17] | The State Council.Thestate Overall Planning for Post-Wenchuan earthquake Restoration and Reconstruction[EB/OL]. (2008-08-12)[2018-05-20]. |
[17] | [国务院. 国家汶川地震灾后恢复重建总体规划[EB/OL]. (2008-08-12)[2018-05-20]. .] |
[18] | The State Council. Overallplanning for Post-Lushan Earthquake Restoration and Reconstruction[EB/OL].(2013-07-15)[2018-05-20]. |
[18] | [国务院 . 芦山地震灾后恢复重建总体规划[EB/OL].(2013-07-15)[2018-05-20]. .] |
[19] | Zhang Weixing, Shi Peijun, Zhou Hongjian.Study on definition and division criteria of large-scale disaster: Analysis of typical disasters in the world in recent years[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2013, 28(1): 15-22. |
[19] | [张卫星,史培军,周洪建. 巨灾定义与划分标准研究——基于近年来全球典型灾害案例的分析[J]. 灾害学, 2013, 28(1): 15-22.] |
[20] | Institute of Engineering Mechanics, China Earthquake Administration. Assessment methods of earthquake-caused indirect economic loss: GB/T 27932-2011[S]. Beijing:Standards Press of China,2011. |
[20] | [中国地震局工程力学研究所. 地震灾害间接经济损失评估方法:GB/T 27932-2011[S].北京:中国标准出版社,2011.] |
[21] | Institute of Engineering Mechanics, China Earthquake Administration. Preliminary cost estimation of post-earthquake rehabilitation of engineering structures:GB/T 27933-2011[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2011. |
[21] | [中国地震局工程力学研究所. 震后恢复重建工程资金初评估:GB/T 27933-2011[S]. 北京:中国标准出版社,2011.] |
[22] | Zhou Hongjian.Hot-topics and prospects of global platform for disaster risk reduction: Based on 2017 global platform for disaster risk reduction in Cancun, Mexico[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2017, 32(7): 688-695. |
[22] | [周洪建. 当前全球减轻灾害风险平台的前沿话题与展望——基于2017 年全球减灾平台大会的综述与思考[J]. 地球科学进展, 2017, 32(7): 688-695.] |
[23] | Sun Lei, Su Guiwu.Research on cultural dimension of natural disaster: A literature review[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2016, 31(9): 907-918. |
[23] | [孙磊,苏桂武. 自然灾害中的文化维度研究综述[J]. 地球科学进展, 2016, 31(9): 907-918.] |
/
〈 |
|
〉 |