通过回顾国际综合风险防范研究15 年的发展历程，总结了所取得的主要研究成果，并对未来主要方向进行了展望。国际综合风险防范研究的最初5 年（2010—2014 年）是在全球环境变化人类因素计划下组织开展的全球综合风险防范研究，包含6 个主要研究方向：社会—生态系统、风险转入—转出机制、预警系统、模型和模拟、巨灾案例对比以及巨灾防御范式。最近10 年的国际综合风险防范研究是在国际科学理事会与联合国系统机构（联合国教科文组织、联合国环境署、联合国大学）等共同发起和主导的“未来地球计划”下继续组织开展的，主要研究方向为：自然灾害和先进技术风险、沿海地区气候变化风险、城市化和农业风险、金融和全球系统性风险以及绿色增长和综合风险管理。国际综合风险防范研究的主要研究成果包括：综合减灾与风险防御范式—凝聚力模式、中国自然灾害系列地图集的编制、世界自然灾害系列地图集的编制、全球复合链生灾害与巨灾风险快速评估综合研究、全球环境风险治理范式的构建以及地球环境风险防控的系统分析等。结合国际综合风险防范研究15 年的发展研究对照全球政治、经济、社会、环境和技术的发展趋势，提出未来综合风险防范研究领域应立足“面向未来地球与世界”，围绕应对全球气候变化、减轻灾害风险和推动可持续发展“三位一体”目标，聚焦地球与世界系统性风险的防控。建议在国际综合风险防范研究成功经验和现有工作基础上，尽快设立世界综合灾害风险防范国际科学计划，这对于保障人类命运共同体的安全与可持续发展至关重要。

Abstract：This paper reviews the 15-year development process of the Integrated Risk Governance Project (IRGP) under IHDP/Future Earth, summarizes its major research achievements, and provides prospects for future research directions in this field. The first five years of IRGP (2010–2014) were carried out under the International Human Dimensions Programme on Global Environmental Change (IHDP), focusing on global integrated risk governance research. Six main research themes were included: socio-ecological systems, mechanisms of risk transfer and transformation, early warning systems, models and simulations, comparative studies of megadisasters, and paradigms of disaster defense. Over the past ten years, IRGP has continued under the framework of the Future Earth Program (FE), jointly initiated and led by the International Science Council (ISC, formed through the merger of ICSU and ISSC) and United Nations system organizations such as UNESCO, UNEP, and UNU. Its main research directions have included: natural disaster and advanced technology risks, climate change risks in coastal regions, risks from urbanization and agriculture, financial and global systemic risks, as well as green growth and integrated risk management. Major achievements of IRGP include: the paradigm of comprehensive disaster reduction and risk defense—the consilience model, compilation of the Atlas of Natural Disasters in China, compilation of the World Atlas of Natural Disasters, comprehensive rapid assessment studies of global compound chain disasters and mega-disaster risks, construction of the global environmental risk governance paradigm, and systematic analyses of Earth environmental risk prevention and control. Comparing IRGP’s 15-year research progress with the trends of international political, economic, social, environmental, and technological development, future integrated risk governance research should address systemic risks of the Earth and the world, focusing on the trinity of tackling global climate change, reducing disaster risks, and achieving sustainable development. It is advisable to promptly establish an international science programme for integrated disaster risk prevention based on the successful experience and existing work of IRGP, as it is highly essential for ensuring the security and sustainable development of the community with a shared future for mankind.