Asymmetric Response of Global Temperature to Changes in CO2 Concentration: Energy Balance Models Study

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  • (1. Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; 2. State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China)
QU Xia, Associated professor, research areas include climate dynamics under climate change. E-mail: quxia@mail.iap.ac.cn

Online published: 2024-06-21

Supported by

Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 42141019, 42175055).

Abstract

The climate system properties influence the asymmetry in global surface air temperature evolution under changes in carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration, but it remains unclear which properties contribute relatively more significantly. Due to the insufficient samples from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) experiments, present study utilized output of 45 CMIP6 models and constructed 391 sets of experiments using a two-layer energy balance model that is both rapid and reproducible. The experimental results demonstrate that Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS), ocean heat capacity, and coefficient of vertical heat exchange in the ocean play primary roles in the asymmetry of Global Surface Air Temperature (GSAT) evolution under fixed CO2 concentration rise and fall. They mainly achieve this by altering the cooling rate after the peak of GSAT during the CO2 concentration decline period. Therefore, a deeper understanding of the climate system’s ECS, ocean heat capacity, and coefficient of vertical heat exchange in the ocean may facilitate a more scientifically realistic achievement of the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Cite this article

QU Xia, HUANG Gang . Asymmetric Response of Global Temperature to Changes in CO2 Concentration: Energy Balance Models Study[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2024.042.

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