Study on the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Temperature and Precipitation in China from 1951 to 2018
Received date: 2020-09-17
Revised date: 2020-10-20
Online published: 2021-01-25
Supported by
National Natural Science Foundation of China “The theoretical study of Geography Ontology”(41771445)
This study used daily temperature and precipitation data from 699 weather stations in China from 1951 to 2018 to study the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of temperature and precipitation in China, by using Mann-Kendall test, wavelet analysis, and RClimDex extreme temperature index methods. The results show that: In terms of time, the temperature in China presents an obvious increasing trend; the increase in precipitation is lagging and slow; the temperature and precipitation have multi-period changes; and there is a correlation on a large time scale. With the number of freezing days ID0 expressed by the highest temperature and abnormal warmth compared with the number of frost days FD0 and the number of warm night days TN90p expressed in the lowest temperature, the number of continuous days TX90p has a smaller change. The longest continuous precipitation days CWD and the longest drought duration CDD show a downward trend. Climate change is mainly characterized by warming and humidification. Spatially, the average temperature and precipitation both show a decreasing trend in the latitude direction. The contours move northward as a whole, which is largely affected by the topography, showing complementary spatial distribution characteristics. The number of warm days TX90p and the number of summer days SU25 are positive across the country. The number of freezing days ID0 and the number of frost days FD0 decrease in most areas. The longest continuous dry days CDD and the longest continuous humid days CWD have a certain degree of opposite spatial variation, and there is an increasing trend in extreme precipitation events. Studying the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of temperature and precipitation is an important part of understanding and coping with the impact of climate change on the region.
Kai Liu , Gege Nie , Sen Zhang . Study on the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Temperature and Precipitation in China from 1951 to 2018[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2020 , 35(11) : 1113 -1126 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2020.102
1 | Shield "Green 2018"covers all national nature reserves[J]. Environmental Education, 2018(4):10. |
1 | “绿盾2018”覆盖所有国家级自然保护区[J]. 环境教育, 2018(4):10. |
2 | Xu Xinchuang, Zhang Xuezhen, Dai Erfu, et al. Research of trend variability of precipitation intensity and their contribution to precipitation in China from 1961 to 2010[J]. Geographical Research, 2014, 33(7): 1 335-1 347. |
2 | 徐新创, 张学珍, 戴尔阜, 等. 1961—2010年中国降水强度变化趋势及其对降水量影响分析[J]. 地理研究, 2014, 33(7):1 335-1 347. |
3 | Mo Xingguo, Hu Shi, Lu Hongjian, et al. Drought trends over the terrestrial China in the 21st century in climate change scenarios with ensemble GCM projections[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2018, 33(7): 1 244-1 256. |
3 | 莫兴国, 胡实, 卢洪健, 等. GCM预测情景下中国21世纪干旱演变趋势分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2018, 33(7): 1 244-1 256. |
4 | Qin Dahe. Climate change science and sustainable development[J]. Progress in Geography, 2014, 33(7): 874-883. |
4 | 秦大河. 气候变化科学与人类可持续发展[J]. 地理科学进展, 2014, 33(7):874-883. |
5 | Li Jingbao, Wang Kelin, Qin Jianxin, et al. The evolution of annual runoff and sediment in the Dongting lake and their driving forces[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2005, 60(3): 503-510. |
5 | 李景保, 王克林, 秦建新, 等. 洞庭湖年径流泥沙的演变特征及其动因[J]. 地理学报, 2005, 60(3):503-510. |
6 | Kerr R A. Climate change. What happened to global warming?Scientists say just wait a bit[J]. Science, 2009, 326(5 949):28-29. |
7 | Yin Jiabo, Pierre Gentine, Zhou Sha, et al. Large increase in global storm runoff extremes driven by climate and anthropogenic changes[J]. Nature Communications, 2018, 9(1): 4 389. |
8 | Du Qinqin, Zhang Mingjun, Wang Shengjie, et al. Changes in air temperature over China in response to the recent global warming hiatus[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2019, 29(4): 496-516. |
9 | Karl T R, Arguez A, Huang Boyin, et al. Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus[J]. Research, 2015, 348(6 242): 1 469-1 472. |
10 | Jiang Shiwei, Zhou Xin. On monsoon precipitation changes during the medieval warm period and the little ice age in Southeastern China[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2019, 34(7):697-705. |
10 | 蒋诗威,周鑫. 中国东南地区中世纪暖期和小冰期夏季风降水研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2019, 34(7):697-705. |
11 | Yang Yi, Shu Heping, Ma Jinzhu, et al. Small and medium scale of climatic variation characteristics of Baiyin city, Gansu Province[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2017, 31(5): 126-131. |
11 | 杨义, 舒和平, 马金珠, 等. 基于Mann-Kendall法和小波分析中小尺度多年气候变化特征研究——以甘肃省白银市近50年气候变化为例[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2017, 31(5): 126-131. |
12 | Ding Kaixi, Zhang Liping, She Dunxian, et al. Variation of extreme precipitation in Lancang River basin under global warming of 1.5 ℃ and 2.0 ℃ [J]. Climate Change Research, 2020, 16(4): 466-479. |
12 | 丁凯熙, 张利平, 佘敦先, 等. 全球升温1.5 ℃和2.0 ℃情景下澜沧江流域极端降水的变化特征[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2020, 16 (4): 466-479. |
13 | Heiko Paeth, Kai Born, Girmes Robinet al. Regional climate change in Tropical and Northern Africa due to greenhouse forcing and land use changes[J]. Journal of Climate, 2009, 22(1):114-132. |
14 | Zhang Hui, Jin Yinghua, Shen Xiangjin, et al. Rising air temperature and its asymmetry under different vegetation regions in China[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2018, 38(2): 272-283. |
14 | 张慧, 靳英华, 神祥金, 等. 中国植被类型区大气增温趋势及其不对称性研究[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(2):272-283. |
15 | Deng Xiangzheng, Dan Li, Ye Qian, et al. Methodological framework and research progress on the social and economic cost of carbon emission and reduction[J]. Journal of Geo-information Science, 2018, 20(4): 405-413. |
15 | 邓祥征, 丹利, 叶谦, 等. 碳排放和减碳的社会经济代价研究进展与方法探究[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2018, 20(4):405-413. |
16 | Cui Lin, Shi Jun, Yang Yinming, et al. Temperature change characteristics and its influence by urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta[J]. Geographical Research, 2008, 27(4): 775-786. |
16 | 崔林丽,史军,杨引明, 等.长江三角洲气温变化特征及城市化影响[J].地理研究,2008, 27(4): 775-786. |
17 | Li Xiangying, Qin Dahe, Xiao Cunde, et al. Progress regarding climate change during recent years[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2011, 56(36): 3 029-3 040. |
17 | 李向应, 秦大河, 效存德, 等. 近期气候变化研究的一些最新进展[J]. 科学通报, 2011, 56(36): 3 029-3 040. |
18 | Du Qinqin, Zhang Mingjun, Wang Shengjie, et al. Changes in air temperature of China in response to global warming hiatus[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018, 73(9): 1 748-1 764. |
18 | 杜勤勤, 张明军, 王圣杰, 等. 中国气温变化对全球变暖停滞的响应[J]. 地理学报, 2018, 73(9): 1 748-1 764. |
19 | Ya V K, Ya G P, Lugina K M. Empirical data on contemporary global climate changes (temperature and precipitation)[J]. Journal of Climate, 1990, 3(6): 662-677. |
20 | Li Donghuan, Zhou Liwei, Zhou Tianjun. Changes of extreme indices over China in response to 1.5 ℃ global warming projected by a regional climate model[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2017, 32(4): 446-457. |
20 | 李东欢,邹立维,周天军.全球 1.5 ℃温升背景下中国极端事件变化的区域模式预估[J].地球科学进展, 2017, 32(4): 446-457. |
21 | Lu Xin, Yin Shuyan, Wang Shuixia, et al. Temporal and spatial variation of agricultural climatic resources in the northern and southern regions of the Qinling mountains[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2018, 27(8): 1 866-1 878. |
21 | 芦鑫, 殷淑燕, 王水霞, 等. 秦岭南北地区农业气候资源时空变化特征[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(8): 1 866-1 878. |
22 | Deng Huiping, Zhao Minghua. Impacts of climate change on water resource vulnerability in Laizhou Bay region[J]. Journal of Natubal Resources, 2001, 16(1): 9-15. |
22 | 邓慧平, 赵明华. 气候变化对莱州湾地区水资源脆弱性的影响[J]. 自然资源学报, 2001, 16(1): 9-15. |
23 | Wang Jinfeng. Analysis on runoff variation in the Beida River Basin under the influence of climate change and human activities[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2019, 33(3): 86-91. |
23 | 王金凤. 气候变化和人类活动影响下的北大河流域径流变化分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2019, 33(3):86-91. |
24 | Zheng Jingyun, Fang Xiuqi, Wu Shaohong. Recent progress of climate change research in physical geography studies from China[J]. Progress in Geography, 2018, 37(1): 16-27. |
24 | 郑景云, 方修琦, 吴绍洪. 中国自然地理学中的气候变化研究前沿进展[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018, 37(1):16-27. |
25 | Wang Lei, Wu Wei, Li Shuliang. Simulaton and predication of Chinese major cities's temperature based on WEGN model[J]. Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, 2011, 30(2): 191-200. |
25 | 王磊, 吴蔚, 李树良. 基于WEGN模型对我国主要城市气温的模拟和预测[J]. 数理统计与管理, 2011, 30(2):191-200. |
26 | Yan Junhui, Zhang Xiangmin, Zhou Hongsheng, et al. Annual temperature variations in Henan during the period of 1951-2015[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2017, 31(7): 102-107. |
26 | 闫军辉, 张向敏, 周红升, 等. 1951—2015年河南省温度变化研究[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2017, 31(7): 102-107. |
27 | Wang Zunya, Ding Yihui, He Jinhai, et al. An updating analysis of the climate change in China in recent 50 years[J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2004, 62(2): 228-236. |
27 | 王遵娅, 丁一汇, 何金海, 等. 近50年来中国气候变化特征的再分析[J]. 气象学报, 2004, 62(2):228-236. |
28 | Wang Ying, Cao Mingkui, Tao Bo, et al. The characteristics of spatiotemporal patterns in precipitation in China under the background of global climate change[J]. Geographical Research, 2006, 25(6): 1 031-1 040,1 148. |
28 | 王英, 曹明奎, 陶波, 等. 全球气候变化背景下中国降水量空间格局的变化特征[J]. 地理研究, 2006, (6):1 031-1 040,1 148. |
29 | Zhou Yaqing, Ren Guoyu. Variation characteristics of extreme temperature indices in mainland China during 1956-2008[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2010, 15(4): 405-417. |
29 | 周雅清,任国玉.中国大陆1956—2008年极端气温事件变化特征分析[J].气候与环境研究,2010, 15(4): 405-417. |
30 | Yin Yixing, Wang Xiaojun, Ye Zhengwei, et al. Trend and probability characteristics of extreme maximum and minimum temperature in the Jiangsu province from 1951 to 2013[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2018, 27(6): 1 351-1 360. |
30 | 尹义星, 王小军, 叶正伟, 等. 1951—2013年江苏省极端最高和最低气温变化趋势及概率特征[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(6): 1 351-1 360. |
31 | Zhao Dongsheng,Gao Xuan,Wu Shaohong,et al. Trend of climate variation in China from 1960 to 2018 based on natural regionalization[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2020, 35(7): 750-760. |
31 | 赵东升,高璇,吴绍洪,等.基于自然分区的1960—2018年中国气候变化特征[J]. 地球科学进展,2020, 35(7): 750-760. |
32 | Zheng Jingyun, Bian Juanjuan, Ge Quansheng, et al. The climate regionalization in China for 1981-2010[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2013, 58(30): 3 088-3 099. |
32 | 郑景云, 卞娟娟, 葛全胜, 等. 1981—2010年中国气候区划[J]. 科学通报, 2013, 58(30): 3 088-3 099. |
33 | Bian Juanjuan, Hao Zhixin, Zheng Jingyun, et al. The shift on boundary of climate regionalization in China from 1951 to 2010[J]. Geographical Research, 2013(7): 1 179-1 187. |
33 | 卞娟娟, 郝志新, 郑景云,等. 1951—2010年中国主要气候区划界线的移动[J]. 地理研究, 2013(7): 1 179-1 187. |
34 | Lu Fuzhi, Lu Huayu. Ahigh-resolution grid dataset of air temperature and precipitation for Qinling-Daba Mountains in central China and its implications for regional climate[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(5): 875-888. |
34 | 陆福志, 鹿化煜. 秦岭—大巴山高分辨率气温和降水格点数据集的建立及其对区域气候的指示[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(5): 875-888. |
35 | Huang Qiang,Chen Zishen. Regional study on the trends of extreme temperature and precipitation events in the Pearl River Basin[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2014, 29(8): 956-967. |
35 | 黄强,陈子燊.全球变暖背景下珠江流域极端气温与降水事件时空变化的区域研究[J].地球科学进展,2014, 29(8): 956-967. |
36 | Ge Sang, Tang Xiaoping, Lu Hongya. Climatic characteristics of rainfall and rainy days during the last 35 years over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2008, 63(9): 924-930. |
36 | 格桑, 唐小萍, 路红亚. 近35年青藏高原雨量和雨日的变化特征[J]. 地理学报, 2008, 63(9):924-930. |
/
〈 |
|
〉 |