Temporal-spatial Distribution of Suitable Areas for Major Food Crops in China Over 60 Years
Received date: 2018-10-25
Revised date: 2019-01-03
Online published: 2019-03-26
Supported by
Project supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China “Initiative on social and economic dimensions on climate change and carbon reduction”(No.2016YFA0602500);The National Natural Science Foundation of China “The theoretical study of geography ontology”(No.41771445);Project supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China “Initiative on social and economic dimensions on climate change and carbon reduction” (No.2016YFA0602500); The National Natural Science Foundation of China “The theoretical study of geography ontology” (No.41771445).
Simulating the temporal-spatial distribution of areas suitable for crops is an important part of analyzing the effects of climate change on crop growth, reducing the vulnerability of crop growth, and assessing the adaptability of crop growth to climate change. This study selected climate factors that affect the growth of wheat, maize and rice, and it combined surface soil and ground elevation factors as environment variables, as well as data from agricultural observation stations as species variables. The MaxEnt ecological model was used to identify suitable areas for these three crops during the period of 1953-2012. The areas suitable for the three crops were analyzed to determine the temporal-spatial distribution of major food crops and to estimate the difference in crop growth adaptability under climate change. The results showed the following:
Xiaoju Ning , Lijun Zhang , Yaochen Qin , Kai Liu . Temporal-spatial Distribution of Suitable Areas for Major Food Crops in China Over 60 Years[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2019 , 34(2) : 191 -201 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2019.02.0191
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