Review on Climate Policy Modeling: An Analysis Based on Bibliometrics Method
Received date: 2013-05-01
Revised date: 2013-06-27
Online published: 2013-08-10
Based on the online version of SCI-E from 1981 to 2012 and SSCI from 2002 to 2012, this study applies bibliometrics method to analyze the scientific production of climate policy modeling. By analyzing the basic characteristics of climate policy modeling, it is found that climate policy modeling is a kind of interdisciplinary field, involving environmental science, economic, meteorology and atmospheric science, geoscience, and management science. Developed countries have much stronger strength than developing countries, and the United States and Europe have the total predominance in this field. By frequency analysis of keywords, six hot research topics in climate policy modeling are summarized including greenhouse gas reduction, uncertainty, costbenefit analysis, development scenario, technical change and equity. In addition, Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) is the most popular framework in climate policy modeling, and three main modeling methods are optimization models, Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Models and Simulation Models. In the future, Behavior Models and Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) Models may have great application potential. Based on the synthetic analysis of Chinese research in climate policy modeling, this study gives several suggestions on the development in this field. Firstly, China should improve both quality and quantity of publications in this field. Secondly, China should train a group of scientific research personnel who concentrate on climate policy modeling. Thirdly, China should establish some specialized journals of this field, or drive related journals to pay attention to this field.
Wei Yiming , Mi Zhifu , Zhang Hao . Review on Climate Policy Modeling: An Analysis Based on Bibliometrics Method[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2013 , 28(8) : 930 -938 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2013.08.0930
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