CUI Qing-Hui , LI Fang-Yi , HUANG Jing , XU Yu-Xian . Review of Sensitivity Research on the Context of Global Change[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2009 , 24(9) : 1033 -1041 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2009.09.1033

[1] Grimm N B, Faeth S H, Golubiewski N E, et al. Global change and the ecology of cities[J].Science,2008, 319: 756-760.
[2] Watson R T, Zinyowera M C, Moss R H. The Reginal Impacts of Climate Change: An Assessment of Vulnerability[R].Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,1998.
[3] Cai Yi, Xing Yan, Hu Dan. On sensitivity analysis[J].Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science), 2008, 44 (2): 9-16.[蔡毅,邢岩,胡丹. 敏感性分析综述[J]. 北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）, 2008, 44(2): 9-16.]
[4] Cariboni J, Gatelli D, Liska R, et al. The role of sensitivity analysis in ecological modelling[J].Ecological Modelling,2007, 203: 167-182.
[5] Wang Zhuquan. Sensitivity analysis and forecast analysis of profit and business risk prevention[J].Accounting Research,1996, (7): 6-10.[王竹泉. 利润敏感性分析与利润预测分析和经营风险防范[J]. 会计研究, 1996, (7): 6-10.]
[6] Nriagn J O. Isotopic Variation as an index of sulfur pollution in lakes around sudburo Ontario[J].Nature,1978, 273: 5.
[7] Hendry G R, Galloway J N, Norton S A, et al. Geological and Hydrochemical Sensitivity of the Eastern United States to Acid Precipitation[R]. Washington D C: US Environment Protection Agency, 1980.
[8] Kane S M, Reilly J M, Tobey J. A sensitivity analysis of the implications of climate-change for world agriculture[C]//Conferences on Economic Issues in Global Climate Change: Agriculture, Forestry, and Natural Resources.Washington D C, 1990.
[9] Watson R T, Zinyoera M C, Moss R H. Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses[R]. IPCC Working GroupⅡ, 1996.
[10] Moss R H, Brenkert A L, Malone E L. Vulnerability to Climate Change: A Quantitative Approach[R]. Washington D C: US Department of Energy, 2002.
[11] Schroter D, Acosta-Michlik L, Arnell A W, et al. ATEAM Final Report 2004[R]. Potsdam, Germany: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 2004.
[12] Calderia K, Jain A K, Hoffert M I. Climate sensitivity uncertainty and the need for energy without CO₂ emission[J].Science, 2003, 299: 2 052-2 054.
[13] Smit B, Burton I, Klein R J T, et al. An anatomy of adaptation to climate change and variability[J].Climatic Change,2000, 45: 223-251.
[14] Smit B, Burton I, Klein R J T,et al. The science of adaptation: A framework for assessment[J].Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change,1999, 4: 199-213.
[15] McCarthy J J, Canziani O F, Leary N A, et al. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability[R]. IPCC Working GroupⅡ, 2001.
[16] TurnerⅡ B L, Kasperson R E, Matson P A,et al. A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2003, 100(14): 8 074-8 079.
[17] Luers A L. The Surface of Vulnerability: An analytical framework for examining environment change[J].Global Environmental Change,2005,15: 214-223.
[18] Ihara T, Genchi Y, Sato T, et al. City-block-scale sensitivity of electricity consumption to air temperature and air humidity in business districts of Tokyo, Japan[J].Energy,2008,33(11):1 634-1 645.
[19] Phillips O L, Aragao L E O C, Lewis S L, et al. Drought sensitivity of the Amazon rainforest[J].Science,2009, 323:1 344-1 347.[20] Simelton E, Fraser E D G, Termansen M, et al. Typologies of crop-drought vulnerability: An empirical analysis of the socio-economic factors that influence the sensitivity and resilience to drought of three major food crops in China(1961-2001)[J]. Environmental Science & Policy,2009, 12(4):438-452.
[21] US Environment Protection Agency. Coastal Sensitivity to Sea Level Rise: A Focus on the Mid-Atlantic Region [R].Washington D C: US Environmental Protection Agency,2009.
[22] Rosello M J P, Martinez J M V, Navarro B A. Vulnerability of human environment to risk: Case of groundwater contamination risk[J].Environment International,2009,35(2): 325-335.
[23] Wen Dazhi, Kong Guohui, Zhang Deqiang, et al. Ecophysiological responses of  30 gardens plant species exposed to short-term air pollution[J].Acta Phytoecologica Sinica,2003,27(3): 311-317.[温达志,孔国辉,张德强,等. 30种园林植物对短期大气污染的生理生态反应[J]. 植物生态学报, 2003, 27(3): 311-317.]
[24] Fuentes D, Disante K B, Valdecantos A, et al. Sensitivity of mediterranean woody seedlings to copper, nickel and zinc[J]. Chemosphere,2007, 66(3): 412-420.
[25] Peng S, Piao S, Wang T, et al. Temperature sensitivity of soil respiration in different ecosystem in China[J].Soil Biology& Biochemistry,2008, (10): 1-7.
[26] Raich J W, Schlesinger W H. The global carbon dioxide flux in soil respiration and its relationship to vegetation and climate[J]. Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 1992, 44B: 81-99.
[27] Sheng Hao, Yang Yusheng, Chen Guangshui,et al. The dynamic responseof plant root respiration to increasing temperature and global warming[J].Acta Ecological Sinica,2007, 27 (4):1 596-1 605.[盛浩,杨玉盛,陈光水,等. 植物根呼吸对升温的响应[J]. 生态学报, 2007, 27(4): 1 596-1 605.]
[28] Lu Peiling, Yu Qiang, He Qingtang. Reponse of plant phenology to climate change[J].Acta Ecological Sinica,2006, 26 (3): 923-929.[陆佩玲,于强,贺庆棠. 植物物候对气候变化的响应[J].生态学报, 2006, 26(3): 923-929.]
[29] Zhang Fuchun. Effects of global warming on plant phenological enverts in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,1995, 50 (5): 402-410.[张福春. 气候变化对中国木本植物物候的可能影响[J]. 地理学报, 1995, 50(5): 402-410.]
[30] Wang Chuanhai, Wu Feiqian, Li Shujuan, et al. Phenological change of ligneous plants in Xi’an botanic garden in last 15 years[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,2006, 27 (4): 261-264.[王传海,吴飞倩,李淑娟,等. 西安植物园木本植物近十余年物候变化的特征分析[J]. 中国农业气象, 2006, 27(4): 261-264.]
[31] Nepstad D, Lefebvre P, Silva U L D. Amazon drought and its implication for forest flammability and tree growth: A basin-wide analysis[J].Global Change Biology, 2004,10:704-717.
[32] Li Changan, Yin Hongfu, Yu Lizhong, et al. Concept model on the fluvial environmental system: Mountain-river-lake-sea interaction and sensitive responding to global change[J].Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2000, 9(3): 358-363.[李长安,殷鸿福,俞立中,等.流域环境系统演化概念模型.山—河—湖—海互动及对全球变化的敏感响应——以长江为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2000, 9(3): 358-363.]
[33] Gong Jianfu, Wang Yirong. Response of climate in Loess Plateau in China to global change[J].Agricultural Research in the Arid Areas,2005, 23(6): 6-11.[龚建福, 王毅荣. 黄土高原气候响应全球变化的敏感区[J].干旱地区农业研究, 2005, 23(6): 6-11.]
[34] Lu Aigang, He Yuanqing, Zhang Zhonglin,et al. Regional sensitivities of the response to the global warming across China in the 20th century[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2005, 27 (6): 827-832.[卢爱刚,何元庆,张忠林,等.中国大陆对全球变暖响应的区域敏感性分析[J]. 冰川冻土, 2005, 27(6): 827-832.]
[35] Yu Mei, Gao Qiong, Guo Jianping. Sensitivity analysis of individual responses of plants to global change[J].Acta Botanica Sinica,1998, 40(12): 1 143-1 151.[喻梅,高琼,郭建平. 植物个体对全球变化响应的敏感度分析[J].植物学报,1998,40(12): 1 143-1 151.]
[36] Leng Wenfang, He Hongshi, Bu Rencang, et al. Sensitivity analysis of the impacts of climate change on potential distribution of three Larch (Larix) species in northeastern China[J].Journal of Plant Ecology (Chinese Version),2007, 31 (5): 825-833.[冷文芳,贺红士,布仁仓,等. 中国东北落叶松属3种植物潜在分布对气候变化的敏感性分析[J]. 植物生态学报, 2007, 31(5): 825-833.]
[37] Cao M K, Prince S D, Li K R, et al. Response of terrestrial carbon uptake to climate interannual variability in China[J].Global Change Biology,2003, 9: 536-546.
[38] Mao J F, Wang B, Dai Y J. Sensitivity of the carbon storage of potential vegetation to historical climate variability and CO₂ in continental China[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2009, 26(1): 87-100.
[39] Dutton J A. Opportunities and priorities in a new era for weather and climate services[J].Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2002, 83(9): 1 303-1 311.
[40] Larsen P H. An evaluation of the sensitivity of US economic sectors to weather[D]. Ithaca, New York State: Cornell University, 2006.
[41] Kumar K S K, Parikh J. Indian agriculture and climate sensitivity[J].Global Environmental Change,2001, 11(2): 147-154.
[42] Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Sanghi A. The effect of development on the climate sensitivity of agriculture[J].Environment and Development Economics,2001, 6: 85-101.
[43] Sanghi A, Mendelsohn R. The impacts of global warming on farmers in Brazil and India[J].Global Environmental Change,2008, 18 (4): 655-665.
[44] Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R. Crop selection: Adapting to Climate Change in Africa[M].Pretoria, South Africa: University of Pretoria, 2006.
[45] Yu Li, Cao Mingkui, Tao Bo, et al. Quantitative assessment of the vulnerability of terrestaial ecosystems of China to climate change based on potential vegtation[J].Journal of Plant Ecology (Chines Version),2008, 32 (3): 521-530.[於琍,曹明奎,陶波,等.基于潜在植被的中国陆地生态系统对气候变化的脆弱性定量评价[J]. 植物生态学报, 2008, 32(3): 521-530.]
[46] Chen Dingmao, Xie Shaodong,Hu Yongtao. Methodology for assessing the sensitivity of ecosysems to acidic deposition and its progress[J].Environment Science, 1998, 5: 92-96.[陈定茂,谢绍东,胡泳涛. 生态系统对酸沉降敏感性评价方法与进展[J].环境科学,1998, 5: 92-96.]
[47] Chen Liding, Fu Bojie. Evaluation of eco-environmental susceptibility to human activity in Yulin region[J].Advances in Environmental Science,1995, 3(4):33-38.[陈利顶,傅伯杰. 榆林地区生态环境对人类活动的敏感度评价[J]. 环境科学进展, 1995, 3(4): 33-38.]
[48] Ouyang Zhiyun, Wang Xiaoke, Miao Hong. China′s eco-environmental sensitivity and its spatial heterogeneity[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2000, 20 (1): 9-12.[欧阳志云,王效科,苗鸿. 中国生态环境敏感性及其区域差异规律研究[J]. 生态学报, 2000, 20(1): 9-12.]
[49] Li Dongmei, Wu Xiaoqing, Yu Deyong,et al. Evaluation on eco-environmental sensitivity of Yunnan Province[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2008, 28(11): 5 270-5 278.[李东梅,吴晓青,于德永,等. 云南省生态环境敏感性评价[J]. 生态学报,2008, 28(11): 5 270-5 278.][50] Rossi P, Pecci A, Amadio V, et al. Coupling indicators of ecological value and ecological sensitivity with indicators of demographic pressure in the demarcation of new areas to be protected: The case of the Oltrepo Pavese and the Ligurian-Emilian Apennine area (Italy)[J].Landscape and Urban Planning,2008, 85 (1): 12-26.
[51] Zheng Yuanrun, Zhou Guangsheng, Zhang Xinshi,et al. Sensitivity of terrestrial ecosystem to global change in China[J].Acta Botanica Sinica,1997, 39 (9): 837-840.[郑元润,周广胜,张新时,等. 中国陆地生态系统对全球变化的敏感性研究[J]. 植物学报, 1997, 39(9): 837-840.]
[52] Shang Zongbo, Gao Qiong. Assessing the sensitivity of China water condition to global climate changes[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2001, 21 (4): 528-537.[尚宗波,高琼. 中国水分状况对全球气候变化的敏感性分析[J]. 生态学报, 2001, 21(4): 528-537.]
[53] Briceno-Elizondo E, Garcia-Gonzalo J, Peltola H, et al. Sensitivity of growth of Scots pine, Norway spruce and silver birch to climate change and forest management in boreal conditions[J].Forest Ecology and Management,2006, 232 (1-3): 152-167.
[54] Lin Erda,Wang Jinghua. The sensitivity and vulnerability of China’ agriculture to global warming[J].Rural Eco-Environment,1994, 10 (1): 1-5.[林而达, 王京华. 我国农业对全球变暖的敏感性和脆弱性[J]. 农村生态环境,1994, 10(1):1-5.]
[55] Sun Fang,Yang Xiu, Lin Erda,et al. Study on the sensitivity and vulnerability of wheat to climate change in China[J].Scientia Agricultura Sinica,2005,38(4):692-696.[孙芳,杨修,林而达,等. 中国小麦对气候变化的敏感性和脆弱性研究[J]. 中国农业科学, 2005,38(4): 692-696.]
[56] Yang Xiu, Sun Fang, Lin Erda, et al. Study on the sensitivity and vulnerability of maize to climate change in China[J].Areal Rssearch and Development, 2005,24(4): 54-57.[杨修,孙芳,林而达,等.我国玉米对气候变化的敏感性和脆弱性研究[J]. 地域研究与开发, 2005, 24(4): 54-57.]
[57] Wu S H, Dai E F, Huang M,et al. Ecosystem vulnerability of China under B2 climate scenario in the 21st century[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,2007, 52(10):1 379-1 386.
[58] Metzger M J, Rounsevell M D A, Acosta-Michlik L, et al.The vulnerability of ecosystem services to land use change[J]. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 2006, 114(1): 69-85.
[59] Chazal J d, Quetier F, Lavorel S,et al. Including multiple differing stakeholder values into vulnerability assessments of socio-ecological systems[J].Global Environmental Change,2008, 18(3): 508-520.
[60] Hahn M B, Riederer A M, Foster S O. The Livelihood Vulnerability Index: A pragmatic approach to assessing risks from climate variability and change—A case study in Mozambique[J].Global Environmental Change,2009, 19(1):74-88.
[61] TurnerⅡ B L, Matson P A, McCarthy J J, et al. Illustrating the coupled human-environment system for vulnerability analysis: Three case studies[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2003, 100(14): 8 080-8 085.
[62] Heltberg R, Siegel P B, Jorgensen S L. Addressing human vulnerability to climate change: Toward a no-regrets approach[J]. Global Environmental Change,2009,19(1):89-99.
[63] World Urbanization Prospects: The 2007 Revision[R]. New York: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division, 2008.