Advances in Earth Science ›› 2026, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (7): 734-748. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2026.053 cstr: 32269.14.adearth.CN62-1091/P.2026.053.
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Hou Jiang1(), Ling Yao2(), Tang Liu1, Yujun Liu3, Jun Qin4
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Hou Jiang, Ling Yao, Tang Liu, Yujun Liu, Jun Qin. Geospatial Intelligent Modeling Framework for Wind and Solar Energy and Its Application to Rooftop Photovoltaics in China[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2026, 41(7): 734-748.
The large-scale integration of wind and solar energy has intensified spatiotemporal mismatches among source-side generation, grid-side transmission, load-side demand and storage-side flexibility. To address the separation between energy-system constraints and geographic process analysis, this study proposes a geo-intelligent modeling framework for wind and solar energy planning. The framework integrates resource sensing, potential assessment, power-system dispatch, source-grid-load-storage coordination, and spatial layout optimization, and is demonstrated through a case study of rooftop photovoltaics in China. The results show a spatial mismatch between rooftop-rich regions and areas with high photovoltaic capacity factors. Under a scenario of 90% grid flexibility and a storage capacity equivalent to 8 hours of average load, grid-connected rooftop photovoltaic generation could achieve a carbon reduction of approximately 4 471.2 MtCO2. The optimization results reveal that rooftop photovoltaic development requires trade-offs among penetration improvement, curtailment control, storage allocation and interregional power transmission, while spatial deployment should optimize county-level combinations to maintain regional supply-demand balance. By integrating geospatial intelligence with source-grid-load-storage coordination, the proposed framework can support the transition of wind and solar potential assessment from static resource evaluation toward spatial decisions that are grid-integrable, carbon-mitigating and implementable.