Advances in Earth Science ›› 2026, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (7): 734-748. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2026.053   cstr: 32269.14.adearth.CN62-1091/P.2026.053.

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Geospatial Intelligent Modeling Framework for Wind and Solar Energy and Its Application to Rooftop Photovoltaics in China

Hou Jiang1(), Ling Yao2(), Tang Liu1, Yujun Liu3, Jun Qin4   

  1. 1.State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    2.College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 101408, China
    3.State Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China
    4.Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500, China
  • Received:2026-05-02 Revised:2026-06-25 Online:2026-07-10 Published:2026-09-23
  • Contact: Ling Yao E-mail:jianghou@igsnrr.ac.cn;yaoling@lreis.ac.cn
  • About author:Jiang Hou, research areas include new energy geographic intelligent modeling and big data coupling analysis. E-mail: jianghou@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • Supported by:
    the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42571482);Innovation Project of LREIS(YKPI501)

Hou Jiang, Ling Yao, Tang Liu, Yujun Liu, Jun Qin. Geospatial Intelligent Modeling Framework for Wind and Solar Energy and Its Application to Rooftop Photovoltaics in China[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2026, 41(7): 734-748.

The large-scale integration of wind and solar energy has intensified spatiotemporal mismatches among source-side generation, grid-side transmission, load-side demand and storage-side flexibility. To address the separation between energy-system constraints and geographic process analysis, this study proposes a geo-intelligent modeling framework for wind and solar energy planning. The framework integrates resource sensing, potential assessment, power-system dispatch, source-grid-load-storage coordination, and spatial layout optimization, and is demonstrated through a case study of rooftop photovoltaics in China. The results show a spatial mismatch between rooftop-rich regions and areas with high photovoltaic capacity factors. Under a scenario of 90% grid flexibility and a storage capacity equivalent to 8 hours of average load, grid-connected rooftop photovoltaic generation could achieve a carbon reduction of approximately 4 471.2 MtCO2. The optimization results reveal that rooftop photovoltaic development requires trade-offs among penetration improvement, curtailment control, storage allocation and interregional power transmission, while spatial deployment should optimize county-level combinations to maintain regional supply-demand balance. By integrating geospatial intelligence with source-grid-load-storage coordination, the proposed framework can support the transition of wind and solar potential assessment from static resource evaluation toward spatial decisions that are grid-integrable, carbon-mitigating and implementable.

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