Advances in Earth Science ›› 2026, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (6): 629-643. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2026.041 cstr: 32269.14.adearth.CN62-1091/P.2026.041
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Xiaojing Ma1,2,3(), Baoxiao Qu1,2,3(), Huamao Yuan1,2,3, Jinming Song1,2,3
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Xiaojing Ma, Baoxiao Qu, Huamao Yuan, Jinming Song. Advances of the Air-Sea CO2 Flux and Controlling Factors in the Tropical Pacific[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2026, 41(6): 629-643.
The tropical Pacific Ocean is the most active region for sea-air interactions globally, where carbon exchange plays a critical role in the global carbon cycle and climate change. Analysis of observational and simulation data reveals the spatiotemporal variation characteristics and key controlling processes of sea-air CO2 flux (FCO2) in this region, along with projections of its future trends. The tropical Pacific serves as a carbon source for atmospheric CO2, releasing an average of approximately 0.27 Pg C/a. Spatially, the flux shows an asymmetric east-west “source-sink” pattern and a quasi-symmetric north-south “sink-source-sink” pattern. Temporally, it varies with the ENSO cycle, with seasonal minima in February-March and maxima in September-October. The processes governing air-sea carbon exchange are both controlled and complex. Atmospheric CO2 concentration is the dominant external forcing controlling the long-term variability of air-sea FCO2, while modulating its interannual-decadal variability through ENSO. Wind speed is the primary dynamic factor governing the gas transport rate between these two environments. Additionally, ocean current mixing directly drives carbon exchange through horizontal transport. Sea surface temperature and freshwater input indirectly influence the partial pressure of carbon dioxide in seawater by altering the gas’s solubility and diluting inorganic carbon and total alkalinity, respectively. Furthermore, these factors are crucial for maintaining ocean stratification and affecting the vertical exchange of water masses. Many of these elements are also intricately linked to marine biogeochemical processes, thereby regulating sea-air carbon exchange through the seawater carbonate balance system. Under increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions, rising atmospheric CO2 will continue to dominate the long-term evolution of tropical Pacific air-sea CO2 exchange, potentially reshaping regional carbon source-sink patterns through processes associated with global warming, including reduced seawater buffering capacity, changes in thermocline structure, and altered ENSO variability. Consequently, it is imperative to enhance research on the processes governing sea-atmosphere carbon exchange in this region in response to global warming, and to elucidate the conditions and reversibility associated with source-sink transformations.