Advances in Earth Science

   

Research on Resilience Evolution of the World Copper Resources Industry Chain, Supply Chain and Trade Network

Zheng Minggui, Zhang Linxing, Dong Juan   

  1. (Research Center of Mining Development, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China)
  • About author:Zheng Minggui, research areas include resource economy and management. E-mail: mgz268@sina.com
  • Supported by:
    Project supported by the National Social Science Fund of China (Grant No. 22XGL003); Jiangxi Provincial Social Science Foundation Project (Grant No. 25YJ35); Key Research Base Project of Humanities and Social Sciences in Universities of Jiangxi Province (Grant No. JD25028).

Zheng Minggui, Zhang Linxing, Dong Juan. Research on Resilience Evolution of the World Copper Resources Industry Chain, Supply Chain and Trade Network[J]. Advances in Earth Science, DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2026.006.

Abstract: Under the backdrop of resource competition among world powers and policy adjustments in resource-rich countries, the strategic attributes and significance of copper resources have become increasingly prominent. The competition among major powers over resources has intensified, and the copper resource industry chain and supply chain are facing significant uncertainties and risks. Studying the resilience of the copper resource industry chain and supply chain trade network is of great significance for ensuring the security of copper resources and the stability of the global copper resource industry chain and supply chain. By comprehensively considering all products in the entire copper resource industry chain and supply chain, including upstream mining, midstream smelting, and downstream processing, an analysis framework for the resilience of the international trade network is constructed. Through describing the capabilities and characteristics of network nodes and structures, the evolution characteristics of the resilience of the copper resource industry chain and supply chain network are depicted from both dynamic and static dimensions. The research shows that at the node resilience level, China has a significant advantage in the upstream and midstream, but the downstream is showing a downward trend. Resource-endowed countries such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Chile have high resilience in the upstream and midstream due to their resource advantages, but their performance in the downstream is not outstanding. Industrial powers such as Germany and the United States have seen a decline in their upstream resilience, but their overall resilience across the entire chain is relatively prominent, and they still hold important positions in the upstream, midstream, and downstream. At the static structural resilience level, resilience in all links is showing a downward trend, and recovery capabilities are all inadequate, with stronger resistance capabilities in the upstream and downstream. At the dynamic structural resilience level, the polarization effect of the upstream and downstream networks has weakened, and their stability capabilities need to be improved. Midstream trade is increasingly concentrated on important links, leading to a decline in resistance to attacks. In the entire chain, the motivation for re-establishing trade links stems primarily from a country's existing status as a trade hub. Trade hub countries dominate the establishment of potential new links and have stronger reconstruction capabilities.
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