Advances in Earth Science ›› 2019, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (8): 814-825. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2019.08.0814

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Advances and Development Countermeasures of 1030 days Extended-range Forecasting Technology in China

Ronghua Jin( ),Jie Ma( ),Hongchang Ren,Shan Yin,Xiangning Cai,Wei Huang   

  1. National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2019-04-24 Revised:2019-07-19 Online:2019-08-10 Published:2019-10-11
  • Contact: Jie Ma E-mail:jinrh@cma.gov.cn;majie@mail.iap.ac.cn
  • About author:Jin Ronghua (1969-), female, Mudanjiang City, Heilongjiang Province, Professor. Research areas include weather analysis and large-scale dynamic process research. E-mail: jinrh@cma.gov.cn
  • Supported by:
    the National Science and Technology Support Program "The study of medium range technological forecasting about heavy precipitation in typical rainy season and the heat wave process in summer"(2015BAC03B04);The Project for Development of Key Techniques in Meteorological Forecasting Operation “Development of objective quantitative forecasting key technology in the extend range from 11-30 days” (No.YBGJXM(2018)04)

Ronghua Jin,Jie Ma,Hongchang Ren,Shan Yin,Xiangning Cai,Wei Huang. Advances and Development Countermeasures of 1030 days Extended-range Forecasting Technology in China[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2019, 34(8): 814-825.

The 10~30 days extended-range forecasting technology is a worldwide problem, but it plays a very important role in meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation decision-making services and meteorological support services for major activities in China. In the past decade, China has carried out beneficial explorations in 10-30 days extended-range forecasting theory and technology and made some progress. Based on the introduction of the theory and technology of extended-range forecast, this paper systematically introduced the technical progress of China’s extended-range forecasting service; combining with the development trend of numerical model and the demand of future extended-range forecast, here we analyzed the specific technical problems and challenges in China’s extended-range forecast service, and finally proposed the development ideas of future extended-range forecast service.

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