区域气候模式CWRF对东亚冬季风气候特征的模拟
收稿日期: 2020-01-18
修回日期: 2020-02-28
网络出版日期: 2020-04-10
基金资助
中国科学院战略性先导科技专项子课题“青藏高原热源的长期变化及其与亚非季风系统的关系”(XDA20100304);第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究专题“亚洲水塔变化及其广域效应”(2019QZKK0208)
Climatological Characteristics of the East Asian Winter Monsoon Simulated by CWRF Regional Climate Model
Received date: 2020-01-18
Revised date: 2020-02-28
Online published: 2020-04-10
Supported by
the Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Science’s Sub-project “Long-term changes of heat sources over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and their relationship with the Asian-African Monsoon System”(XDA20100304);The Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program "The change of Asian water tower and its wide effect"(2019QZKK0208)
利用1979—2016年欧洲中期天气预报中心的ERA-Interim大气再分析资料及美国国家海洋和大气管理局的ERSSTv4海表面温度资料驱动区域气候模式CWRF,对东亚冬季风气候特征进行模拟和评估。结果表明:CWRF模式能够较好地再现东亚冬季风环流的平均特征,包括低层大陆冷高压的位置、中心强度以及高低层风场的变化特征,对北风出现区域和频率的模拟也与再分析资料的结果相符。该模式模拟的中国地区的气温、降水分布与观测基本一致,水汽输送也与再分析资料吻合,来自孟加拉湾的水汽为华南降水所需的水分起着至关重要的作用。对视热源和视水汽汇的模拟结果表明,模式较好地模拟出了东亚大陆与邻近海域的热力差异。分析结果均表明,区域气候模式CWRF具备模拟东亚冬季风主要特征的能力。
王冰笛 , 李清泉 , 沈新勇 , 董李丽 , 汪方 , 王涛 , 梁信忠 . 区域气候模式CWRF对东亚冬季风气候特征的模拟[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020 , 35(3) : 319 -330 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2020.025
Based on the ERA-Interim atmospheric reanalysis data from the European Medium-Term Weather Forecast Center from 1979 to 2016 and the ERSSTv4 sea surface temperature data from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the regional climate model CWRF was used to simulate the climate characteristics in East Asia. The results show that the CWRF model can well reproduce the average characteristics of the East Asian winter monsoon circulation, including the location and intensity of the low-level continental cold high pressure and variation characteristics of wind field in high and low levels. The occurrence area and frequency of the north wind in the simulation and the reanalysis data were further calculated and compared. It is shown that they are basically consistent. The distribution of air temperature and precipitation over China are well represented by the model. The water vapor transport is also in good agreement with the reanalysis data. The water vapor from the Bay of Bengal plays a vital role in the precipitation over South China. The simulation results of apparent heat source and apparent moisture sink show that the model can well simulate the thermal difference between the East Asian continent and the adjacent sea area. The analysis results indicate that CWRF model has the ability to simulate the main characteristics of the East Asian winter monsoon.
1 | Ding Yihui. Monsoons over China [M]. Netherlands:Springer, 1994. |
2 | Wang Bin, Wu Renguang, Fu Xiouhua. Pacific-East Asian teleconnection: How does ENSO affect East Asian climate?[J].Journal of Climate,2000, 13(9):1 517-1 536. |
3 | Wang Lin, Chen Wen. How well do existing indices measure the strength of the East Asian winter monsoon?[J]. Advances in Atmospheric Science,2010, 27(4):855-870. |
4 | Liu Yanzhi, Zuo Ruiting, Peng Jun, et al. Research progress on the change and impact of the East Asian winter monsoon [J]. Science and Fortune, 2011, (1): 91-92. |
4 | 刘言志,左瑞亭, 彭军, 等. 东亚冬季风的变化及其影响的研究进展[J].科学与财富, 2011, (1):91-92. |
5 | Chang C P, Lau K M. Northeasterly cold surges and near equatorial disturbances over the winter MONEX area during December 1974, Part II: Planetary-scale aspect [J]. Monthly Weather Review,1980,108(3):298-312. |
6 | Chang C P, Lau K M. Short-term planetary-scale interactions over the Tropics and midlatitudes during northern winter, Part I: Contrasts between active and inactive periods [J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1982,110(8): 933-946. |
7 | Ding Yihui, Krishnamurti T N. Heat budget of the siberian high and the winter monsoon [J]. Monthly Weather Review, 1987, 115(10):2 428-2 449. |
8 | Ding Yihui. A statistical study of winter monsoons in East Asia [J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 1990,6(2):119-128. |
9 | Liu Shuyan. Application of CWRF in the Monsoon Region of Eastern China [D].Nanjing: Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 2006. |
9 | 刘术艳. CWRF在中国东部季风区的应用[D].南京:南京信息工程大学,2006. |
10 | Liu Shuyan, Liang Xinzhong, Gao Wei. Application of CWRF in China: Regional optimization [J]. Chinese Atmospheric Science, 2008,32(3/4):457-468. |
10 | 刘术艳,梁信忠,高炜.气候—天气研究及预报模式(CWRF)在中国的应用:区域优化[J].大气科学,2008,32(3):457-468. |
11 | Liu Guanzhou, Liang Xinzhong. Progress of the Climate extension of Weather Research and Forecast (CWRF) model application in China[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2017,32(7):781-787. |
11 | 刘冠州,梁信忠.新一代区域气候模式(CWRF)国内应用进展[J].地球科学进展,2017,32(7):781-787. |
12 | Giorgi F. Thirty years of regional climate modeling: Where are we and where we are we going next?[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres, 2019,124(11):5 696-5 723. |
13 | Li Linchao. Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Extreme Temperature, Precipitation and Drought Events and Its Multi-model Prediction [D]. Yangling: Northwest A&F University, 2019. |
13 | 李林超. 极端气温、降水和干旱事件的时空演变规律及其多模式预测[D].杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2019. |
14 | Zhang Yujing. High Resolution Numerical Simulation and Prediction of Precis on Regional Extreme Climate Events in China [D]. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, 2017. |
14 | 张玉静. PRECIS对中国区域极端气候事件的高分辨率数值模拟与预估[D].北京:中国农业科学院,2017. |
15 | Sun Qingfei. Simulation and Evaluation of the Influence of Mid-high Latitude and Low-latitude Circulation on Summer Precipitation in East China [D]. Nanjing: Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 2017[孙庆飞. 中高纬与低纬环流对我国东部夏季降水影响的模拟与评估[D].南京:南京信息工程大学,2017.] |
16 | Han Zhenyu, Wang Yuxing, Nie Yu. Radiation budget analysis of RegCM4 for regional climate simulation in eastern China [J]. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 2016,39(5): 683-691. |
16 | 韩振宇,王宇星,聂羽.RegCM4对中国东部区域气候模拟的辐射收支分析[J].大气科学学报,2016,39(5):683-691. |
17 | Wang Tao, Wang Yishu, Cui Yan, et al. Assessment and prediction of rainfall simulation capacity of three northeastern provinces by climate model [J]. Journal of Meteorology and environment, 2016,32 (5): 52-60. |
17 | 王涛,王乙舒,崔妍,等.气候模式对东北三省降水模拟能力评估及预估[J].气象与环境学报,2016,32(5):52-60. |
18 | Ding Y, Liu Y, Shi X, et al. Multi-year simulations and experimental seasonal predictions for rainy seasons in China by using a nested regional climate model (RegCM_NCC) Part II: The experimental seasonal prediction[J]. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2006, 23(4):487-503. |
19 | Liang X-Z, Xu M, Yuan X, et al. Regional climate-weather research and forecasting model[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2012, 93(9):1 363-1 387. |
20 | Liang X Z, Sun C, Zheng X, et al. CWRF performance at downscaling China climate characteristics[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2018,52(3): 2 159-2 184. |
21 | Liang X Z, Choi H I, Kunkel K E, et al. Surface boundary conditions for mesoscale regional climate models[J]. Earth Interactions, 2005, 9(12): 305-319. |
22 | Liang X Z, Xu M, Gao W, et al. Development of land surface albedo parameterization based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS) data[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 2005, 110(D11): 1 341-1 355. |
23 | Liu S, Liang X Z, Gao W. Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting model (CWRF) application in China: Domain optimization[J]. Chinese Atmospheric Science,2008,32:457-468. |
24 | Dee D,Uppala S M,Simmons A J,et al. The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system[J]. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2011,137(656) : 553-597. |
25 | Huang B, Banzon V F, Freeman E, et al. Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature Version 4 (ERSST.v4). Part I: Upgrades and intercomparisons[J]. Journal of Climate, 2015, 28(3):911-930. |
26 | Qiao Yunting, Chen Lieting, Zhang Qingyun. The definition of East Asian Monsoon Indices and their relationship to climate in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2002, 26(1):69-82. |
26 | 乔云亭,陈烈庭,张庆云.东亚季风指数的定义及其与中国气候的关系[J].大气科学,2002,26(1):69-82. |
27 | Yanai M, Esbensen S, Chu J H. Determination of bulk properties of tropical cloud clusters from large-scale heat and moisture budgets[J]. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 1973, 30(4):611-627. |
28 | Jian Maoqiu, Luo Huibang. Time variation of atmospheric heat source and water vapor sink in South China [J]. Tropical Ocean, 1996,15(1): 60-67. |
28 | 简茂球,罗会邦.华南大气热源和水汽汇的时间变化[J].热带海洋,1996,15(1):60-67. |
29 | Jiang Ningbo, Luo Huibang. The seasonal variation of atmospheric heat source and water vapor sink in Asian monsoon area Ⅱ. The seasonal variation of water vapor sink [J]. Journal of tropical Meteorology, 1994,10(1): 1-8. |
29 | 江宁波,罗会邦.亚洲季风区大气热源和水汽汇的季节内变化Ⅱ.水汽汇的季节内变化[J].热带气象学报,1994,10(1):1-8. |
30 | Liang Zhonghui, Huang Liyuan, Huang Jing, et al. Analysis of climate change characteristics of summer wind water vapor transport in the northern South China Sea [J]. Brand Research, 2018,15(3): 212-215. |
30 | 梁中惠,黄丽元,黄静,等.南海北部夏季风水汽输送的气候变化特征分析[J].品牌研究,2018,15(3):212-215. |
31 | Zhang Y, Sperber K R, Boyle J S. Climatology and interannual variation of the east asian winter monsoon: Results from the 1979-95 NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis [J]. Monthly Weather Review,1997,125(10):2 605-2 619. |
32 | Li Qiaoping, Ding Yihui. Simulation of annual mean characteristics of East Asian Winter Monsoon by regional climate model [J]. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 2005,(Suppl.1): 30-40. |
32 | 李巧萍,丁一汇.区域气候模式对东亚冬季风多年平均特征的模拟[J].应用气象学报,2005,(增刊1):30-40. |
33 | Zhao Xuan, Xu Haiming, Xu Mimi, et al. The influence of the abnormal atmospheric heat source in the Kuroshio area of the East China Sea in spring on the precipitation in the East China Sea [J]. Journal of Meteorology, 2015,73(2): 263-275. |
33 | 赵煊,徐海明,徐蜜蜜,等.春季中国东海黑潮区大气热源异常对中国东部降水的影响[J].气象学报,2015,73(2):263-275. |
34 | Gong Yuanfa. Study on Low Frequency Oscillation of Atmospheric Heat Sources over the Tibetan Plateau and East Asia and Drought and Flood in Eastern China [D]. Nanjing: Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 2008. |
34 | 巩远发.青藏高原及东亚大气热源低频振荡与我国东部旱涝的研究[D].南京:南京信息工程大学,2008. |
/
〈 |
|
〉 |