气候变化健康风险评估、早期信号捕捉及应对策略研究

  • 黄存瑞 ,
  • 王琼
展开
  • 1. 中山大学公共卫生学院,广东 广州 510080
    2.中山大学全球卫生研究中心,广东 广州 510275

作者简介:黄存瑞(1979-),男,安徽六安人,教授,主要从事气候变化与健康研究.E-mail:huangcr@mail.sysu.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2018-09-11

  修回日期: 2018-10-11

  网络出版日期: 2018-12-21

基金资助

*国家重点研发计划项目“全球变化及应对”重点专项“全球增暖导致区域健康风险及早期信号捕捉研究”(编号:2018YFA0606200)资助.

版权

, 2018,

Climate Change and Human Health: Risk Assessments, Early Signals and Response Strategies

  • Cunrui Huang ,
  • Qiong Wang
Expand
  • 1.School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China
    2.Global Health Institute, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China

First author:Huang Cunrui(1979-), male, Liu'an City, Anhui Province, Professor. Research areas include climate change and human health. E-mail: huangcr@mail.sysu.edu.cn

Received date: 2018-09-11

  Revised date: 2018-10-11

  Online published: 2018-12-21

Supported by

Foundation item:Project supported by the National Key R & D Program of China "Climate change and human health: Risk assessments, early signals and response strategies"(No.2018YFA0606200).

Copyright

地球科学进展 编辑部, 2018,

摘要

气候变化是人类社会在21世纪面临的最严峻挑战之一。由于气候变化导致的地表平均温度升高、降水规律改变,以及极端事件的发生频率和强度增加,正在严重威胁人类的生命与健康。如何妥善应对全球增暖导致的健康风险,是迫切需要解决的重要科学问题。国家重点研发计划“全球变化及应对”重点专项部署的研究任务“全球增暖导致区域健康风险及早期信号捕捉研究”于2018年5月正式获批立项,将通过从基础研究到应用示范的全链条设计,集成公共卫生、医学、气象科学、灾害管理等多学科交叉融合优势,开展气候变化健康风险评估、早期信号捕捉及应对策略研究。主要研究内容包括:①气候变化对人群健康的影响及区域分异规律;②气候变化或极端事件与健康关系的机理研究;③导致区域健康风险的气候系统异常早期信号捕捉;④气候变化健康风险综合评估和适应策略。希望通过卫生与气象部门的紧密合作、科研与业务单位相结合的方式,研究成果为国家和地方应对气候变化的健康风险提供科技支撑。

本文引用格式

黄存瑞 , 王琼 . 气候变化健康风险评估、早期信号捕捉及应对策略研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2018 , 33(11) : 1105 -1111 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2018.11.1105.

Abstract

Climate change is considered as the biggest global health threat of the 21st century. The increasing adverse health effects of climate change has been a public concern worldwide. In order to develop the specific health response strategies, a key research project, "Climate change and human health: Risk assessments, early signals and response strategies", was approved by the National Key R & D Program of China in May 2018. This project will integrate researchers from multidisciplinary background, such as public health, medicine, meteorological sciences, disaster management, to address the following scientific questions: ①The impact of climate change on population health and its regional heterogeneity; ②The underlying mechanisms and pathways of how climate change and extreme events impact on health; ③Capture of the early signals of climate system anomalies which may lead to regional health risks; ④The comprehensive health risk assessments and development of coping strategies for tackling climate change. This project will improve our understanding of climate change and health and help policy maker to develop national and local responses to climate change in China.

参考文献

[1] International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate change 2013: The physical science basis[M]∥Contribution of Working Group Ⅰ to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, 2013.
[2] Caminade C, Kovats S, Rocklov J, et al. Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2014, 111(9): 3 286-3 291.
[3] Gasparrini A, Guo Y, Hashizume M, et al. Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: A multicountry observational study[J]. The Lancet, 2015, 386(9991): 369-375.
[4] Hajat S, Vardoulakis S, Heaviside C, et al. Climate change effects on human health: Projections of temperature-related mortality for the UK during the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s[J]. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 2014, 68(7): 641-648.
[5] Jones B, O'Neill B C, McDaniel L, et al. Future population exposure to US heat extremes[J]. Nature Climate Change, 2015, 5(7): 652.
[6] Li T, Horton R M, Kinney P L.Projections of seasonal patterns in temperature-related deaths for Manhattan, New York[J]. Nature Climate Change, 2013, 3(8): 717.
[7] Thomas F, Sabel C E, Morton K, et al. Extended impacts of climate change on health and wellbeing[J]. Environmental Science & Policy, 2014, 44: 271-278.
[8] Patz J A, Frumkin H, Holloway T, et al. Climate change: Challenges and opportunities for global health[J]. JAMA, 2014, 312(15): 1 565-1 580.
[9] Harley M D, Valentini A, Armaroli C, et al. Can an early-warning system help minimize the impacts of coastal storms? A case study of the 2012 Halloween storm, Northern Italy[J]. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2016, 16(1): 209-222.
[10] Watts N, Amann M, Ayeb-Karlsson S, et al. The lancet countdown on health and climate change: From 25 years of inaction to a global transformation for public health[J]. The Lancet, 2017,391(10 120):581-630.
[11] He X J.Information on impacts of climate change and adaptation in China[J]. Journal of Environmental Informatics, 2017, 29(2): 110-121.
[12] Kan H D.Climate change and human health in China[J]. Environmental Health Perspectives, 2011, 119(2): A60-A61.
[13] Kan H D, Chen R J, Tong S L.Ambient air pollution, climate change, and population health in China[J]. Environment International, 2012, 42: 10-19.
[14] Ma W J, Lin H L, Tao L, et al. Human health, well-being and climate change in China[M]∥Nadin R, Opitz Stapleton S, Yinlong X, eds.Climate Risk and Resilience in China, 2016:181-209.
[15] Tong S L, Berry H L, Ebi K, et al. Climate change, food, water and population health in China[J]. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 2016, 94(10): 759-765.
[16] Dai J P, Chen R J, Meng X, et al. Ambient air pollution, temperature and out-of-hospital coronary deaths in Shanghai, China[J]. Environmental Pollution, 2015, 203: 116-121.
[17] Tong M X, Hansen A, Hanson-Easey S, et al. Perceptions of capacity for infectious disease control and prevention to meet the challenges of dengue fever in the face of climate change: A survey among CDC staff in Guangdong Province, China[J]. Environmental Research, 2016, 148: 295-302.
[18] He J R, Liu Y, Xia X Y, et al. Ambient temperature and the risk of preterm birth in Guangzhou, China (2001-2011)[J]. Environmental Health Perspectives, 2016, 124(7): 1100-1106.
[19] Zhao Q, Li S S, Cao W, et al. Modeling the present and future incidence of pediatric hand, foot, and mouth disease associated with ambient temperature in Mainland China[J]. Environmental Health Perspectives, 2018, 126(4).
[20] Li T T, Horton R M, Bader D A, et al. Long-term projections of temperature-related mortality risks for ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and acute is chemic heart disease under changing climate in Beijing, China[J]. Environment International, 2018, 112: 1-9.
[21] Li Y X, Li G X, Zeng Q, et al. Projecting temperature-related years of life lost under different climate change scenarios in one temperate megacity, China[J]. Environmental Pollution, 2018, 233: 1 068-1 075.
[22] Ministry of Science and Technology of China, Application Guidelines for the 2018 National Key R & D Program of "Global Change and Response"[Z].[2018-08-06]. , 2017.
[22] [中华人民共和国科学技术部.“全球变化与应对”重点专项2018年度项目申报指南[Z].[2018-08-06]., 2017.]
文章导航

/