古AO/NAO的研究进展

  • 梁文癸 ,
  • 闻新宇
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  • 北京大学物理学院大气与海洋科学系 气候与海—气实验室,北京 100871

作者简介:梁文癸(1991-),男,广东茂名人,硕士研究生,主要从事古气候与AO/NAO研究.E-mail:lemonadepku@gmail.com

*通信作者:闻新宇(1979-),男,江苏武进人,讲师,主要从事气候变化和气候模拟研究.E-mail:xwen@pku.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2016-08-11

  修回日期: 2016-10-20

  网络出版日期: 2016-11-20

基金资助

国家自然科学基金项目“近21 000年地球气候演变的模拟研究”(编号:41130105)和“北半球冬季东太平洋波列的机理、变率及其它对区域和全球大气环流和气候变化的影响”(编号:41130962)资助

版权

, 2016,

An Overview of Paleo-AO/NAO Studies

  • Wengui Liang ,
  • Xinyu Wen
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  • Laboratory of Climate, Ocean and Atmosphere Studies, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

First author:Liang Wengui(1991-), male, Maoming City,Guangdong Province, Master student. Research areas include Paleoclimate and AO/NAO.E-mail:lemonadepku@gmail.com

*Corresponding author:Wen Xinyu(1979-), male, Wujin City, Jiangsu Province, Assistant professor. Research areas include climate change and climate modeling.E-mail:xwen@pku.edu.cn

Received date: 2016-08-11

  Revised date: 2016-10-20

  Online published: 2016-11-20

Supported by

Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China “Towards the understanding of the transient climate evolution of the last 21 000 years”(No.41130105) and “Northeast Pacific wintertime wave train’s variability, dynamics, and its regional and global impacts on atmospheric circulation and climate changes”(No.41130962)

Copyright

地球科学进展 编辑部, 2016,

摘要

20世纪90年代中后期北大西洋涛动(NAO)年代际变率的发现与北极涛动(AO)概念的提出,引发了持续至今的古AO/NAO研究热潮。从观测和模拟两方面对多时间尺度的古AO/NAO研究进展做了系统的回顾与总结,包括近千年AO/NAO序列的重建,全新世AO/NAO变化趋势的争议,末次冰盛期AO/NAO振幅的减弱,末次间冰期AO/NAO的异常偏正,以及AO/NAO的气候平均态与振幅2个关键概念的区分。其中对不同时段AO/NAO的变化机理做了简要概括与讨论。在此基础上,建议在今后的古AO/NAO研究中,除了寻找时间更长、与AO/NAO显著相关的代用资料外,还要着力加强气候模拟方面的工作,特别是长时间瞬变模拟及对关键外强迫因子开展敏感性试验。只有将观测与数值模拟相结合,才可进一步增进对AO/NAO与气候背景间动力机制的理解。在过去20年间,气候学界对AO/NAO的广泛研究,对于理解全球变暖背景下AO/NAO的变化过程、并提高其可预报性都具有重要意义。

本文引用格式

梁文癸 , 闻新宇 . 古AO/NAO的研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2016 , 31(11) : 1137 -1150 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2016.11.1137

Abstract

The discovery of decadal variability of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the introduction of Arctic oscillation (AO) concept have initiated a series of paleo-AO/NAO related studies since the mid-to-late 1990s. The progress and new findings of paleo-AO/NAO works after that time were comprehensively reviewed. The new results from the observations and modelings at four key timescales were summarized in detail: ①the reconstructions of the AO/NAO annual index over the past millennium; ②the debate on AO/NAO’s trend since early Holocene; ③the weakening of AO/NAO’s amplitude during the Last Glacial Maximum; and ④the anomalous positive phase of AO/NAO during the Last Interglacial. In addition, the possible mechanism for different timescales of AO/NAO is also summarized. Furthermore, the distinction between AO/NAO’ was mean state and amplitude, which were not explicitly separated in previous studies, were comprehensively discussed. Considering the current uncertainties related to paleo-AO/NAO studies, we encourage the community to search for more proxies having longer-than-10,000-year length with annual resolution around AO/NAO highly correlated regions. Another, we encourage long-term transient modeling on AO/NAO can be performed in order to improve our understanding of the dynamics and interaction between AO/NAO’s high-frequency variability and the climatological background, so as to further improve AO/NAO’s predictability on global warming context.

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