过去全球变化研究中若干问题的反思

doi:10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.1996.05.0493

地球科学进展 ›› 1996, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (5): 493 -487. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.1996.05.0493

过去全球变化研究中若干问题的反思

吕厚远

中国科学院地质研究所北京100029

收稿日期:1996-01-15 修回日期:1996-03-04 出版日期:1996-10-01
通讯作者: 吕厚远，男，1960年9月出生，副研究员，主要从事海洋地质和第四纪地质研究.

RECONSIDERATION OF SOME PROBLEMS IN THE STUDY OF PAGES

LÜ Houyuan

Institute Of Geology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029

Received:1996-01-15 Revised:1996-03-04 Online:1996-10-01 Published:1996-09-01

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过去全球变化（PAGES）是IGBP计划的核心计划之一，科学家对过去全球变化的研究已经取得了许多有意义的成果和积累了丰富的资料。对全球变化中的气候突变的必然性和偶然性、全球变化的确定性和不确定性及简单性和复杂性作一些反思，以求引起学术争鸣。

关键词: 过去全球变化, 问题反思

PAGES is a core project of the International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme(IGBP).Through the organization of coordinated national and international scientific efforts,many great achievements about Past climatic and environmental changes have been obtained.This paper is intended to reconsider some problems found in the study of the PAGES including inevitable and unexpected abrupt climatic changes,certain and uncertain climatic events,simple and complicated processes of climatic variation to arouse the attention and discussion of paleoscientist.

Key words: PAGES, Climatic change, Theoretical problems

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