中国地球气候系统模式在CMIP6 中的影响力分析及CMIP7概况

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  • (1. 中山大学 大气科学学院,广东 珠海 519082;2. 南方海洋科学与工程广东省 实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082)
李宸昊,主要从事气候变化及模式评估工作. E-mail:lichh8@mail2.sysu.edu.cn

网络出版日期: 2025-02-03

基金资助

国家自然科学基金项目(编号:U21A6001,42261144687)资助.

Influence Analysis of Chinese Earth & Climate System Model in CMIP6 and Overview of CMIP7

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  • (1. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai Guangdong 519082, China; 2. Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai Guangdong 519082, China)
LI Chenhao, research areas include climate change and evaluation of Earth & climate models. E-mail: lichh8@mail2.sysu.edu.cn

Online published: 2025-02-03

Supported by

Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. U21A6001, 42261144687).

摘要

随着气候危机日益严峻,地球气候系统模式作为预估和应对未来气候变化的关键数值模 拟工具,其重要性愈发凸显。耦合模式比较计划旨在推动模式发展并深化对地球气候系统的科学 认知,已成为国际间模式交流与应用的核心平台。概述了中国参与第六次耦合模式比较计划的情 况,并统计分析了中国地球气候系统模式在第六次耦合模式比较计划相关研究中的被引用情况、 研究概况及特点。结果发现,中国模式应用广泛,影响力较强,但缺乏高被引成果的引用,需要整 合资源集中发展代表模式。此外,简要介绍了正在筹备中的第七次国际耦合模式比较计划,并总 结了中国在模式发展方面所面临的机遇与挑战。中国模式应用前景广阔,但仍有提升空间,应继 续加大研发投入,保持国际竞争力,为继续深度参与全球气候变化治理做好准备。

本文引用格式

李宸昊, 梁文钧, 胡辉, 董文杰, 吕建华 . 中国地球气候系统模式在CMIP6 中的影响力分析及CMIP7概况[J]. 地球科学进展, 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2025.010.

Abstract

Abstract:As the climate crisis intensifies, the Earth & Climate System Model as a key numerical simulation tool for predicting and responding to future climate change has become increasingly important. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) aims to promote model development and deepen scientific understanding of the Earth’s climate system, and has become a core platform for international model exchange and application. This paper summarizes China’s participation in the sixth CMIP (CMIP6), and statistically analyzes the citation situation, research overview and characteristics of Chinese models in CMIP6-related studies. The results show that Chinese models are widely used and have a far-reaching impact, but lack highly cited achievements. It is necessary to integrate resources and focus on developing representative models. In addition, this paper briefly introduces the seventh Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP7) under preparation, and summarizes the opportunities and challenges China faces in model development. The application prospects of Chinese models are broad, but there is still room for improvement. China should continue to increase investment in research and development, maintain international competitiveness, and be well-prepared for continued in-depth participation in global climate change governance.
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