全球变化研究

气候变化经济影响研究热点的足迹可视化:整合被引文献和突现词

  • 李宁 ,
  • 刘丽 ,
  • 张正涛 ,
  • 冯介玲 ,
  • 陈曦 ,
  • 白扣
展开
  • 1. 环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室,北京师范大学,北京 100875
    2. 民政部/教育部减灾与应急管理研究院,北京师范大学,北京 100875

作者简介:李宁(1958-),女,江苏镇江人,教授,主要从事自然灾害及风险管理研究.E-mail:ningli@bnu.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2017-12-15

  修回日期: 2018-05-29

  网络出版日期: 2018-09-14

基金资助

国家重点研发计划重点专项课题“全球变化人口与经济系统风险评估模型与模式研究”(编号:2016YFA0602403);国家自然科学基金项目“沙尘暴重现期被估计偏长问题的理论与方法研究”(编号:41775103);资助.

版权

, 2018,

Visualization of Climate Change and Economic Research Hotspots:Integrating Cited References and Burst Keywords

  • Ning Li ,
  • Li Liu ,
  • Zhengtao Zhang ,
  • Jieling Feng ,
  • Xi Chen ,
  • Kou Bai
Expand
  • 1.Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
    2.Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Ministry of Civil Affairs and Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China

First author: Li Ning(1958-), female, Zhenjiang City, Jiangsu Province,Professor. Research areas include natural disaster and risk management research. E-mail: ningli@bnu.edu.cn

Received date: 2017-12-15

  Revised date: 2018-05-29

  Online published: 2018-09-14

Supported by

Project supported by the National Key R & D Program of China-Global Change and Mitigation Project “Global change risk of population and economic system: Mechanism and assessment”(No.2016YFA0602403);The National Natural Science Foundation of China “Research on the theory and method of the return period of dust storms is estimated to be longer”(No.41775103).

Copyright

地球科学进展 编辑部, 2018,

摘要

气候变化经济影响的研究受到各国政府与学者的广泛关注,是国内外的研究热点。以Web of Science核心数据库中检索的14 796篇与气候变化经济影响相关的文献为基础,整合文献共被引网络和突现词共现网络,对气候变化经济影响研究热点的足迹进行可视化分析。研究结果显示,文献数量整体上呈现指数上升趋势。时间上,研究热点在2007年以前,主要集中在气候变化的归因分析(化石燃料、土地利用变化等造成的CO2排放增多),对自然生态系统(农业产量、粮食安全、北极冰盖、海岸带等)和社会经济系统(人类健康、能源、工业等)的影响及经济影响评估,演变到对未来气候变化情景、CO2的减排及应对和减缓气候变化等的关注。2007年以后随着IPCC第四次评估报告及斯特恩报告的发布,进一步加强了气候变化影响的成本效益评估、脆弱性及生物能源等方面的研究,热点聚焦气候变化经济学及经济贸易。空间上,研究热点的发文主要来自于美国、加拿大、西欧(英国、法国、德国、意大利、荷兰等)、澳大利亚和中国等国家。

本文引用格式

李宁 , 刘丽 , 张正涛 , 冯介玲 , 陈曦 , 白扣 . 气候变化经济影响研究热点的足迹可视化:整合被引文献和突现词[J]. 地球科学进展, 2018 , 33(8) : 865 -873 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2018.08.0865

Abstract

The study of the economic impact of climate change has received extensive attention from governments and scholars around the world. This paper based on 14 796 literatures that related to climate change and economic from the core database of Web of Science. Integrating the method of co-citation network and burst keywords co-occurrence network to analyze the temporal and spatial changes of research hotspots on climate change and economic impact. The results show that the global literature's number keep a exponential growth trend, rapidly after 2007. Before 2007, the research hotspots primarily centered on the climate change attribution analysis (increased CO2 emissions from fossil fuels, land use changes, etc.), the impact on natural ecosystems (agricultural production, food security, Arctic ice caps, coastal zones, etc.) and socio-economic System (human health, energy, industry, etc.), and the assessment of economic impac and then focused on the future scenarios of climate change and CO2 abatement and how to adapt and mitigate the climate change. After 2007, with the introduction of IPCC AR4 and Stern report, further strengthened the research on cost-effective assessment of climate change impact, vulnerability, bioenergy and so on. The research hotspots focus on economics of climate change and trade. In space, the literatures of research hotspots were mainly come from the United States, Canada, Western European countries (UK, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands), Australia and China.

参考文献

[1] McG Tegart W J, Sheldon G W, Griffiths D C. Climate Change: The IPCC Impacts Assessment. Contribution of Working Group II to the First Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Chang[M]. Camberra: Australian Government Publishing Service, 1990.
[2] Cline W.The Economics of Global Warming[M]. Washington: Institute for International Economics, 1992.
[3] Nordhaus W D.Rolling the DICE: An optimal transition path for controlling greenhouse gases[J]. Resource and Energy Economics, 1993, 15(1): 27-50.
[4] Stern N.The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
[5] Meng J, Liu J F, Xu Y, et al. Globalization and pollution tele-connecting local primary PM2.5 emissions to global consumption[J]. Proceedings Mathematical Physical & Engineerin, 2016, 472(2 195):1-17.
[6] Searchinger T, Heimlich R, Houghton R A, et al. Use of US croplands for biofuels increases greenhouse gases through emissions from land-use change[J]. Science, 2008, 319(5 867): 1 238-1 240.
[7] Oita A, Malik A, Kanemoto K, et al. Substantial nitrogen pollution embedded in international trade[J]. Nature Geoscience, 2016, 9(2): 111-115.
[8] Chen Yue, Chen Chaomei, Liu Zeyuan,et al. The methodology function of CiteSpace mapping knowledge domains[J]. Studies in Science of Science, 2015, 33(2): 242-253.
[8] [陈悦, 陈超美, 刘则渊, 等. CiteSpace知识图谱的方法论功能[J]. 科学学研究, 2015, 33(2): 242-253.]
[9] Hou Jianhua.Visual Analysis of Evolution and Research Fronts of Business Management[D]. Dalian: Dalian University of Technology, 2009.
[9] [侯剑华. 工商管理学科演进与前沿热点的可视化分析[D]. 大连: 大连理工大学, 2009.]
[10] Fan Shuaibang, Guo Qi, He Canfei.A review of policy analysis in economic geography based on CiteSpace II[J]. Economic Geography, 2015, 35(5): 15-24.
[10] [范帅邦, 郭琪, 贺灿飞. 西方经济地理学的政策研究综述——基于CiteSpace的知识图谱分析[J]. 经济地理, 2015, 35(5): 15-24.]
[11] Li Qiang.Research hotspots of karst in 2016 based on bibliometrics analysis[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2017, 32(5): 535-545.
[11] [李强. 基于文献计量学分析2016年度岩溶学研究热点[J]. 地球科学进展, 2017, 32(5): 535-545.]
[12] Zhang Yan, He Aiping, Zhao Renjie.Biliometric analysis on the status and trends of disaster economy research in China[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2016, 31(4): 150-156.
[12] [张艳, 何爱平, 赵仁杰. 我国灾害经济研究现状特征与发展趋势的文献计量分析[J]. 灾害学, 2016, 31(4): 150-156.]
[13] Watson R T, Zinyowera M Z,Moss R H.Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses: Contribution of Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Chang[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1996.
[14] Core Writing Team, Pachauri R K, Reisinger A, et al. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Group I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Geneva, Switzerland, 2007.
[15] Chen C.CiteSpace II: Detecting and visualizing emerging trends and transient patterns in scientific literature[J]. Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology, 2006, 57(3): 359-377.
[16] Houghton J H, Jenkins G J, Epheaums J J.Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment: Contribution of Working Group I to the First Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Chang[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990.
[17] Houghton J H, Ding Y, Griggs D J, et al.Climate Change 2001: The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
[18] Mccarthy J J, Canziani O F, Leary N A, et al.Climate change 2001: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation: Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
[19] Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Grubler A, et al.Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000.
[20] Adger W N.Vulnerability[J]. Global Environmental Change, 2006, 16(3): 268-281.
[21] Parry M, Canziani O, Palutikof J, et al.Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Chang[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
[22] Lobell D B, Burke M B, Tebaldi C, et al. Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030[J]. Science, 2008, 319(5 863): 607-610.
[23] Solomon S,Qin D H, Manning M, et al.Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
[24] Stocker T F, Qin D H, Plattner G K, et al.Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013.
[25] Lin J T, Tong D, Davis S, et al. Global climate forcing of aerosols embodied in international trade[J]. Nature Geoscience, 2016, 9(10): 790-794.
[26] Edenhofer O, Pichs-Madruga R, Sokona Y, et al.Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014.
[27] Qin Xiaonan, Lu Xiaoli, Wu Chunyou.The knowledge mapping of domestic ecological security research: Bibliometric analysis based on Citespace[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2014,34(13): 3 693-3 702.
[27] [秦晓楠, 卢小丽, 武春友. 国内生态安全研究知识图谱——基于CiteSpace的计量分析[J]. 生态学报, 2014, 34(13): 3 693-3 702.]
[28] Liu Li, Li Ning, Zhang Zhengtao, et al. Bibliometric analysis of scientific publications in climate change and economic research between china and major developed countries based on the index of publications relative output and impact[J]. Climate Change Research, 2018, 14(3): 325-330.
[28] [刘丽, 李宁, 张正涛, 等. 中国与主要发达国家对气候变化与经济领域科研论文贡献的文献计量分析——基于论文相对产出与影响指标[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2018, 14(3): 325-330.]
[29] Xiao Lanlan.The IPCC assessment process: China's participation, impacts, and follow-up measures[J]. Global Review, 2016, 8(2): 59-77,154.
[29] [肖兰兰. 中国对IPCC评估报告的参与、影响及后续作为[J]. 国际展望, 2016, 8(2): 59-77,154.]
文章导航

/