地球系统模式与综合评估模型的双向耦合及应用

董文杰; 袁文平; 滕飞; 郝志新; 郑景云; 韦志刚; 丑洁明; 刘昌新; 齐天宇; 杨世莉; 阎东东; 张婧

doi:10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2016.12.1215

地球科学进展 >

2016 , Vol. 31 >Issue 12: 1215 - 1219

DOI: https://doi.org/10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2016.12.1215

地球系统模式与综合评估模型的双向耦合及应用

董文杰 ,
袁文平 ,
滕飞 ,
郝志新 ,
郑景云 ,
韦志刚 ,
丑洁明 ,
刘昌新 ,
齐天宇 ,
杨世莉 ,
阎东东 ,
张婧

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1.中山大学,大气科学学院,广东广州 510275
2.北京师范大学,地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室,北京 100875
3.清华大学,能源环境经济研究所,北京 100084
4.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101
5.中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京 100190

作者简介:董文杰(1966-),男,甘肃甘谷人,教授,主要从事全球气候变化及其影响研究.E-mail:dongwj3@mail.sysu.edu.cn

收稿日期: 2016-09-10

修回日期: 2016-11-10

网络出版日期: 2016-12-20

基金资助

国家重点研发计划项目“地球系统模式与综合评估模型的双向耦合”(编号:2016YFA0602703)资助

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, 2016,

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Coupling Earth System Model and Integrated Assessment Model

Wenjie Dong ,
Wenping Yuan ,
Fei Teng ,
Zhixin Hao ,
Jingyun Zheng ,
Zhigang Wei ,
Jieming Chou ,
Changxin Liu ,
Tianyu Qi ,
Shili Yang ,
Dongdong Yan ,
Jing Zhang

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1.School of Atmospheric Science, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
2.State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
3.Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
4.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
5.Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China

First author:Dongle Wenjie(1966-), male, Gangu County, Gansu Province, Professor. Research areas include global climate change and its impact.E-mail:dongwj3@mail.sysu.edu.cn

Received date: 2016-09-10

Revised date: 2016-11-10

Online published: 2016-12-20

Supported by

Foundation item:Project supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China “Coupling earth system model and integrated assessment model”(No.2016YFA0602703)

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地球科学进展编辑部, 2016,

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摘要

针对2016年度国家重点研发计划项目“全球变化与应对”指南方向“气候变化经济影响综合评估模式研究”,旨在建立具有自主知识产权的、国际一流的评估模式,评估气候变化对中国经济的影响。项目的实施是在全球变化正在深刻影响人类生存和发展的背景下开展的,总体目标是提高地球系统模式空间水平分辨率,完善综合评估模型,实现地球系统模式和综合评估模型的双向耦合,评估气候变化对社会经济的影响。旨在解决2个关键科学问题:综合评估模型中如何刻画气候变化的影响?气候变化对中国社会经济的影响及其程度如何?解决2个关键技术问题:地球系统模式中小尺度人类活动模拟的技术问题;地球系统模式和综合评估模型运行尺度匹配和非同步耦合的技术问题。

关键词： 地球系统模式; 综合评估模型; 气候变化

本文引用格式

董文杰 , 袁文平 , 滕飞 , 郝志新 , 郑景云 , 韦志刚 , 丑洁明 , 刘昌新 , 齐天宇 , 杨世莉 , 阎东东 , 张婧 . 地球系统模式与综合评估模型的双向耦合及应用[J]. 地球科学进展, 2016 , 31(12) : 1215 -1219 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2016.12.1215

Abstract

According to the guideline of National Key Research and Development Project, this project aims at developing a world-class Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) in China, which will be used to assess the impacts of climate change on economy system. The objects of this project are to ① Improve the spatial resolution of Earth System Model (ESM); ② Modify the Integrated Assessment Model; ③ Couple the ESM and IAM; ④ Evaluate the impacts of climate change on society and economy. This project will solve two key scientific questions: how to identify the impacts of climate change in the IAM; How much the impacts of climate change on economy in China. Meanwhile, two techniques will be developed to complete the mission of this project: Simulate of small-scale human activities in the EAM and spatial and temporal resolution match of ESM and IAM.

Key words： Earth System Model; Integrated assessment model; Climate change.

参考文献

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