收稿日期: 2004-04-09
修回日期: 2004-04-29
网络出版日期: 2004-06-01
基金资助
国家自然科学基金项目“水库诱发型滑坡成因机理及其预测预报研究”（编号：40172096）；高等学校优秀青年教师教学科研奖励计划及重大基础研究前期研究专项计划（编号：2002cccd1500）资助
RESEARCH PROGRESS IN TIME FORECAST AND PREDICTION OF LANDSLIDES
Received date: 2004-04-09
Revised date: 2004-04-29
Online published: 2004-06-01
许强 , 李秀珍 , 黄润秋 . 滑坡时间预测预报研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2004 , 19(3) : 478 -483 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2004.03.0478
China is one of nations deeply puzzled by landslide disaster, the economic loss caused by landslides every year is very serious. Therefore, the landslide forcast and prediction has become a hot topic studied by people. In this paper, the research present situation and progress on the landslide time prediction are systematically summarized, especially, the progress is emphatically discussed about the landslide forecast models (including quantitative forecast models、qualitative forecast model as well as GMD forecast model and so on) and the forecast criterions, and the comprehensive information prediction and its specific technology route are proposed.
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