本文回顾了关于ENSO循环产生的物理机制的研究进展情况。截止目前,在ENSO循环产生机制方面有许多不同的研究结果,每项研究都使用了不同的研究方法并集中讨论了ENSO循环的不同方面,由于模式中动力过程的不同,所得到的结果也是有差异的。最后,本文对ENSO循环的GCM模拟及其预测作了一些介绍。

In this paper, a comprehensive review on the advances of researches on physical mechanisms of ENSO cycles is given. Up to now, the results of the researches on this aspect are different because each of the researches uses different method and the discussion is focused on the different aspect of the ENSO cycle. It seems that the difference of the model dynamical process leads to the difference of the results. Finally, the GCM modelling and the prediction of the ENSO cycles are introduced.