收稿日期: 2006-05-21
修回日期: 2007-01-15
网络出版日期: 2007-03-10
基金资助
国家自然科学基金项目“海原断裂带全新世古地震高精度测年和强震事件时间序列”(编号：40202015)资助.
Summarization on the Development of Calendrical Calibration by Bayesian Analysis on Series of Radiocarbon Dates
Received date: 2006-05-21
Revised date: 2007-01-15
Online published: 2007-03-10
尹金辉 , 刘粤霞 , 郑勇刚 , 卢演俦 . 14C样品贝叶斯法日历年龄校正研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2007 , 22(3) : 297 -304 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2007.03.0297
In the past several decades Bayesian statistical technique has been used to the analysis of radiocarbon calibration for high accuracy of dating results. This technique is expected to improve the imprecise calendar ages when 14C data are individually calibrated in the plateaux and wiggles of 14C calibration curve. Many successful cases have showed that Bayesian analysis could obtain more reliable chronology by incorporating stratigraphic information with radiocarbon ages. The historical progress, principle and calculation method aspects of Bayesian analysis were reviewed here for application in radiocarbon dating, and some archaeological and geological examples, such as sequences with known order, known age gaps and approximate gaps extracted from tree ring, peat and related deposits, were used to show its ability and reliability to reduce the uncertainties in radiocarbon dating. Finally, the effect factor and future developments of Bayesian analysis on serial chronology were also introduced.
Key words： Radiocarbon calibration; Bayesian analysis; Wiggle-matching.
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