CMIP5和CMIP6模式在历史试验下对AMO和PDO的模拟评估

夏松, 刘鹏, 江志红, 程军

Simulation Evaluation of AMO and PDO with CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models in Historical Experiment

Song XIA, Peng LIU, Zhihong JIANG, Jun CHENG

表2 观测和CMIP5历史试验下的模拟综合分析

Table 2 The comprehensive analysis of the observation and simulations under the CMIP5 historical experiment

序号 名称 矢量偏差均方根(空间) 排序(空间) 矢量偏差均方根(周期) 排序(周期) 综合(排序相加) 1 ACCESS1-0 1.12 27 1.02 33 35 2 ACCESS1-3 1.36 33 0.52 3 16 3 bcc-csm1-1 1.56 35 0.74 11 25 4 bcc-csm1-1-m 1.57 36 0.91 20 33 5 CanESM2 1.00 21 0.73 10 15 6 CCSM4 0.79 8 0.83 14 7 7 CESM1-BGC 0.84 12 0.97 28 19 8 CESM1-CAM5 0.70 6 0.51 2 1 9 CESM1-CAM5-1-FV2 1.23 31 1.00 30 36 10 CESM1-FASTCHEM 0.78 7 0.87 15 7 11 CESM1-WACCM 1.04 25 0.99 29 31 12 CMCC-CESM 0.93 17 0.96 27 23 13 CMCC-CM 0.67 5 0.92 22 12 14 CMCC-CMS 0.64 3 0.96 25 13 15 CNRM-CM5 1.24 32 0.87 16 26 16 CNRM-CM5-2 1.03 24 0.90 18 22 17 FGOALS-g2 0.83 11 0.62 4 3 18 FGOALS-s2 1.15 29 0.68 9 17 19 FIO-ESM 0.97 18 1.01 32 27 20 GISS-E2-H 0.98 19 1.03 34 30 21 GISS-E2-H-CC 0.88 15 0.65 6 5 22 GISS-E2-R 0.64 4 1.11 36 19 23 GISS-E2-R-CC 0.81 10 0.64 5 3 24 inmcm4 0.92 16 0.92 23 18 25 IPSL-CM5A-LR 0.98 20 1.08 35 32 26 IPSL-CM5A-MR 1.22 30 0.91 21 28 27 IPSL-CM5B-LR 1.13 28 0.88 17 24 28 MIROC5 1.05 26 0.96 26 29 29 MIROC-ESM 1.01 23 0.41 1 9 30 MIROC-ESM-CHEM 0.63 2 0.91 19 5 31 MPI-ESM-LR 1.00 22 0.66 7 14 32 MPI-ESM-P 1.38 34 0.93 24 34 33 MRI-CGCM3 0.86 13 0.78 13 10 34 NorESM1-M 0.80 9 1.01 31 19 35 NorESM1-ME 0.87 14 0.76 12 10 36 MME 0.52 1 0.68 8 2