我国持续性重大天气异常成因与预报方法研究回顾与未来展望
翟盘茂, 倪允琪, 陈阳

Mechanism and forecasting method of persistent extreme weather events: review and prospect
Zhai Panmao, Ni Yunqi, Chen Yang
图3 2003年6月27日至7月11日淮河流域致洪暴雨的天气学模型 a和b分别为500 hPa位势高度单位:10 gpm27.5#cod#x000b0;～32.5#cod#x000b0;N平均经度时间剖面图和110#cod#x000b0;～130#cod#x000b0;E平均纬度时间剖面；c为110#cod#x000b0;～120#cod#x000b0;E平均的700 hPa温度和经向风纬度#cod#x02014;时间剖面,等值线间隔为2 ℃,实线表示温度#cod#x02265;0 ℃,虚线表示温度#cod#x02264;0 ℃,阴影：偏北风；d,g,h均为淮河流域32#cod#x000b0;～34#cod#x000b0;N,115#cod#x000b0;～120#cod#x000b0;E日均降水量单位：mm；e表示110#cod#x000b0;～120#cod#x000b0;E平均的季风涌随时间的演变,箭头表示整层地面到300 hPa的积分水汽通量单位：kgm#cod#x000b7;s;阴影表示风速#cod#x02265;12 m s；f为32#cod#x000b0;～34#cod#x000b0;N 600 hPa涡度#cod#x02265;0,单位：10 -5 s -1 的经度#cod#x02014;时间剖面 [ 50 ]
Fig.3 The synoptic model for the floodingcausing heavy precipitation in Huai River during 2003.06.27-2013.07.11 aand b Denote longitudetime 27.5#cod#x000b0;～32.5#cod#x000b0;N and latitudetime 110#cod#x000b0;～130#cod#x000b0;E plot of geopotential height at 500 hPa unit: 10 gpm; cDisplays the latitudetime 110#cod#x000b0;~120#cod#x000b0;E plot of meridional wind and temperature at 700 hPa, with contour interval 2 ℃, the shadings indicates the northerlies; d,gand f Represent the daily precipitation unit:mm of Huai River 32#cod#x000b0;~34#cod#x000b0;N,115#cod#x000b0;~120#cod#x000b0;E; e Shows the evolution of the monsoon flux110#cod#x000b0;～120#cod#x000b0;E, with arrows indicating the verticallyintegrated water vapor flux from ground to 300 hPa unit: kgm#cod#x000b7;s,the shadings denote that the wind speed is greater than 12 ms; f Shows the longitudetime 32#cod#x000b0;～34#cod#x000b0;N plot of vorticity at 600 hPa, with shadings indicating positive vorticities unit: 10 -5 s -1 [ 50 ]