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Advances in Earth Science >

2016 , Vol. 31 >Issue 8: 775 - 781

DOI: https://doi.org/10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2016.08.0775.

Orginal Article

A Study of Global Change Population and Economic System Risk Forming Mechanism and Assessment

  • Peijun Shi ,
  • Aihui Wang ,
  • Fubao Sun ,
  • Ning Li ,
  • Tao Ye ,
  • Wei Xu ,
  • Jing’ai Wang ,
  • Jianping Yang ,
  • Hongjian Zhou
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  • 1.State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
    2.Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Ministry of Civil Affairs and Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
    3.Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,China
    4.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    5.School of Geography, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
    6.Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
    7.National Disaster Reduction Center, Ministry of Civil Affairs, Beijing 100124, China

Received date: 2016-07-16

  Revised date: 2016-08-02

  Online published: 2016-08-20

Supported by

Project supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China “A study on global change population and economic system risk forming mechanism and assessment” (No.2016YFA0602400)

Copyright

地球科学进展 编辑部, 2016,
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Abstract

Global climate change featured with warming has created serious challenge to world sustainable development and human security. It has become an important consensus of the international society to assess global change risk at the global scale and carry out tailored governance and risk-based adaptation. National Key Research and Development Program “Study on global change population and economic system risk forming mechanism and assessment” aims at quantitatively predicting future global climate change and population and economic system exposure and vulnerability change, developing global change population and economic system risk assessment model based on complex system dynamics, synthesizing risk assessment model with proprietary intellectual property rights, assess global change population and economic system risk of the near and mid future at the global scale, and compiling the atlas of global change population and economic system risk. The outcomes intend to serve the participation of global risk governance and international climate negotiation, and to provide scientific support to the implementation of international disaster risk reduction strategy.

Key words： Global change; Global climate change prediction; Population and economic system; Risk forming mechanism; Risk assessment models and modeling.

Cite this article

Peijun Shi , Aihui Wang , Fubao Sun , Ning Li , Tao Ye , Wei Xu , Jing’ai Wang , Jianping Yang , Hongjian Zhou . A Study of Global Change Population and Economic System Risk Forming Mechanism and Assessment[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2016 , 31(8) : 775 -781 . DOI: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2016.08.0775.

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