地球科学进展 ›› 2006, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (11): 1109 -1118. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2006.11.1109

973项目研究进展 上一篇    下一篇

影响我国短期气候异常的关键区:亚印太交汇区
吴国雄 1,李建平 1,周天军 1,陆日宇 1,俞永强 1,朱江 1,穆穆 1,段安民 1,任荣彩 1,丁一汇 2,李维京 2,何金海 3,王凡 4,于卫东 5,乔方利 5,袁东亮 3,齐义泉 6   
  1. 1.中国科学院大气物理研究所,LASG,北京 100029;2. 国家气候中心,北京 100081;3. 南京信息工程大学,江苏 南京 210044;4. 中国科学院海洋研究所,山东 青岛 266071;5. 国家海洋局第一海洋研究所,山东 青岛 266061;6. 中国科学院南海海洋研究所,广东 广州 510301
  • 收稿日期:2006-09-15 修回日期:2006-09-26 出版日期:2006-11-15
  • 通讯作者: 任荣彩(1964-),女,河北赵县人,副研究员,主要从事气候动力学研究. E-mail:rrc@lasg.iap.ac.cn
  • 基金资助:

    国家重点基础研究发展计划项目:“亚印太交汇区海气相互作用及其对我国短期气候的影响”(编号:2006CB403600);中国科学院创新团队国际合作伙伴计划“气候系统模式研发及应用研究”;国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40221503, 40523001)资助.

The Key Region Affecting the Short-term Climate Variations in China: The Joining Area of Asia and Indian-Pacific Ocean

Wu Guoxiong 1,Li Jianping 1,Zhou Tianjun 1,Lu Riyu 1,Yu Yongqiang 1,Zhu Jiang 1,Mu Mu 1,Duan Anmin 1,Ren Rongcai 1,Ding Yihui 2,Li Weijing 2,He Jinhai 3,Wang Fan 4,Yu Weidong 5,Qiao Fangli 5,Yuan Dongliang 3,Qi Yiquan 6   

  1. 1.LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing  100029,China;2. National Climate Center, Beijing 100081,China;3. Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044,China;4. Institute of Oceanology, CAS, Qindao 266071,China;5.The First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qindao 266061,China;6.South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, CAS, Guangzhou 510301,China
  • Received:2006-09-15 Revised:2006-09-26 Online:2006-11-15 Published:2006-11-15

围绕国家重点基础研究发展计划项目“亚印太交汇区海气相互作用及其对我国短期气候的影响”,介绍了“亚印太交汇区”(AIPO)的概念,从气候系统多圈层相互作用的角度,阐述了研究AIPO区海气相互作用的科学意义;在分析国内外海气相互作用影响气候研究发展动态的基础上,指出AIPO区是影响我国短期气候的关键区;研究AIPO区海气相互作用对我国短期气候的影响也是国民经济发展需要亟待解决的重要课题。介绍了项目拟研究的关键科学问题,指出该项目的最终研究目标为:揭示AIPO季节到年际尺度的海气相互作用特征,从而提出该关键区海气相互作用影响我国短期气候异常的理论框架,为改进东亚季风的季度—年际变化预测提供理论和方法。

    Based on the National Basic Key Research Program (973)“Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction over the Joining Area of Asia and Indian-Pacific Ocean (AIPO) and Its Impact on the Short-term Climate Variation in China”, this paper introduces the definition of the “Joining Area of Asia and Indian-Pacific Ocean (AIPO)”; highlights the scientific significances for investigating the air-sea interactions in AIPO area from the view point of multi-level interactions in the climate system; and stresses why AIPO is a key area for the short-term climate variation and prediction in China.
    This program is also an important subject that meets the urgent needs of the national economy. Several key scientific issues are then emphasized. Finally the basic scientific objectives of this program are listed, which are: to reveal the characteristics of air-sea interaction in the AIPO joining area on seasonal to inter-annual time scales; to propose a theoretical framework about the impacts of these processes on the short-term climate variation in this area; and to provide theories and methods for improving the East Asian climate prediction on seasonal to inter-annual scales.

中图分类号: 

[1] Zhou T J, Yu R C. Atmospheric water vapor transport associated with typical anomalous summer rainfall patterns in China[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research,2005,110: D08104, doi:10.1029/2004JD005413.

[2] Ding yihui. Water Vapor Budget in Monsoon Area: Asia Monsoon[M]. Beijing: Meteorological Press, 1994:105-133.[丁一汇.季风区的水汽收支:亚洲季风[M].北京:气象出版社,1994:105-113.]

[3] Li W P. Moisture flux and water balance over the South China Sea during late boreal spring and summer[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology,1999,64:179-187.

[4] Peixoto J P, Oort A H. Physics of Climate[M]. New York: American Institute of Physics Press, 1992.[吴国雄等译.气候物理学[M].北京:气象出版社,1995.]

[5] Ganachaud A, Wunsch C. Improved estimates of global ocean circulation, heat transport and mixing from hydrographic data[J]. Nature, 2000, 408(23):453-457.

[6] Wu Guoxiong, Chou Jifan, Liu Yimin, et al. Dynamics of the Formation and Variation of Subtropical Anticyclone[M].Beijing: Science Press,2002:314.[吴国雄,丑纪范,刘屹岷,.副热带高压形成和变异的动力学问题[M].北京:科学出版社,2002:314.]

[7] Zhang Qiong, Liu Ping, Wu Guoxiong. SST in Indian Ocean and the Southern China Ocean and the drought/flood in Yangtz regions[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,2003,27(6):992-1 005.[张琼,刘平,吴国雄.印度洋和南海海温与长江流域旱涝[J].大气科学,2003,27(6):992-1 005.]

[8] Chen Guanghua, Huang Ronghui. The effect of warm pool thermal states on tropical cyclone in West Northwest Pacific[J]. Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2006,22(6):in press.[陈光华, 黄荣辉.西北太平洋暖池热状态对热带气旋活动的影响[J].热带气象学报,2006,22(6):待刊.]

[9] Yu W, Xiang B, Liu L,et al. Understanding the origins of interannual thermocline variations in the tropical Indian Ocean[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2005,32:L24706, doi:10.1029/2005GL024327.

[10] Wang B, Ding Q, Fu X, et al. Fundamental channenge in simulation and prediction of summer monsoon rainfall[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2005,32:L15711, doi: 10.1029/2005GL022734.

[11] Flohn H. Large-scale aspects of the "summer monsoon" in South and East Asia[J]. Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan,1957,35:180-186.

[12] Wu Guoxiong, Zhang Yongshen. Tibetan Plateau forcing and the timing of the monsoon onset over South Asia and the South China Sea[J]. Monthly Weather Review,1998,126:913-927.

[13] Liu Y M, Chan J C L, Mao J Y, et al. The role of Bay of Bengal Convection in the onset of the 1998 South China Sea summer monsoon[J]. Monthly Weather Review,2002,130: 2 731-2 744.

[14] Wu GuoXiong, Meng Wen. The gear-like coupling of air-sea systems between equatorial Indian and Pacific Ocean[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,1998,22(4):470-480.[吴国雄,孟文.赤道印度洋太平洋地区海气系统的齿轮式耦合和ENSO事件[J].大气科学,1998,22(4):470-480.]

[15] Li T, Wang B, Chang C P. Theories on the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation: A Review[C]IAP/Academia Sinica,ed. Dynamics of Atmospheric General Circulation and Climate. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2001:252-276.

[16] Wang B, Wu R, Lau K M. Interannual variability of Asian summer monsoon: Contrast between the Indian and Western North Pacific-East Asian monsoons[J]. Journal of Climate,2001,14:4 073-4 090.

[17] Committee on Strategic Guidance for NSF's Support of the Atmospheric Sciences National Research Council. Strategic Guidance for the National Science Foundation's Support of the Atmospheric Sciences: An Interim Report[M/OL].http://www.nap.edu/catalog/11454.html

[18] World Meteorology Organization. The World Climate Research Programme Strategic Framework 2005-2015: Coordinated Observation and Prediction of the Earth System (COPES), 2005. [R/OL]. http://www.wmo.ch/web/wcrp/pdf/WCRP-strateg Imple_Low Res.pdf,2005.[李建平,刘屹岷,.世界气候研究计划2005—2015年战略框架[M].北京:气象出版社,2006.]

[19] Huang Ronghui, Li Chongyin, Wang Shaowu, et al. On the Major Climate Disasters and Their Formation[M]. Beijing:Meteoralogy Press, 2003.[黄荣辉,李崇银,王绍武,.我国旱涝重大的气候灾害及其形成机理研究[M].北京:气象出版社,2003.]

[20] Li Weiping, Wu Guoxiong, Liu Yimin, et al. How the surface processes over the Tibetan Plateau affect the summertime Tibetan Anticyclone: Numerical experiments [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2001, 25(6):809-816.[李伟平,吴国雄,刘屹岷,.青藏高原表面过程对

夏季青藏高压的影响:数值试验[J].大气科学,2001,25(6): 809-816.]

[21] Liu Xin, Wu Guoxiong, Li Weiping, et al. Thermal adaptation of the large-scale circulation to the summer heating over the Tibetan plateau[J]. Progress in Natural Science,2001,11(3): 33-39.[ 刘新,吴国雄,李伟平,.夏季青藏高原加热和大尺度流场的热力适应[J].自然科学进展,2000,11(3):33-39.]

[22] Zhang Xuehong, Shi Guangyu, Liu Hui, et al. IAP Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model[M].Beijing, New York:Science Press, 2000:252.

[23] Duan A M, Wu G X. Role of the Tibetan Plateau thermal forcing in the summer climate patterns over subtropical Asia[J]. Climate Dynamics, 2005, 24:793-807.

[24] Qiao F, Yuan Y, Yang Y, et al. Wave-induced mixing in the upper ocean: Distribution and application in a global ocean circulation model[J]. Geophysical Research Letter,2004,31:L11303,doi:10.1029/2004GL019824.

[25] Wu Guoxiong, Li Jianping, et al. Air-sea-land Interactions in Asia Monsoon Region and their Impacts on the Climate Variation in China[M].Beijing: Meteorology Press,2005.[吴国雄,李建平,.亚洲季风区海气相互作用对我国气候变化的影响[M].北京:气象出版社,2005.]

[26] Hu D, Pang Chongguang. Reexamination of the role of vertical circulation in sedimentation in the Yellow and East China seas[J]. Journal of Hydrodynamics, 2001,13:115-121.

[1] 庞姗姗, 王喜冬, 刘海龙, 邵彩霞. 热带海洋盐度障碍层多尺度变异机理及其对海气相互作用的影响研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(2): 139-153.
[2] 杨韵, 李建平, 谢飞, 冯娟, 孙诚. 热带北大西洋模态年际变率的研究进展与展望[J]. 地球科学进展, 2018, 33(8): 808-817.
[3] 黎伟标, 刘昊亚, 方容. 大气对海洋中尺度涡响应的研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2017, 32(10): 1039-1049.
[4] 栾贻花, 俞永强, 郑伟鹏. 全球高分辨率气候系统模式研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2016, 31(3): 258-268.
[5] 李春. “风应力强迫下北太平洋副热带环流与大气环流耦合调整的过程与机理”研究成果介绍[J]. 地球科学进展, 2013, 28(9): 1064-1066.
[6] 陈大可,许建平,马继瑞,陈显尧,王桂华,王伟,韩桂军,张启龙,袁耀初,周伟东. 全球实时海洋观测网(Argo)与上层海洋结构、变异及预测研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2008, 23(1): 1-7.
[7] 王辉,王东晓,杜岩. 2002年国外物理海洋学研究主要进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2003, 18(5): 797-805.
[8] 江志红,屠其璞. 国外有关海气系统年代际变率的机制研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2001, 16(4): 569-573.
[9] 王绍武. 短期气候预测的可预报性与不确定性[J]. 地球科学进展, 1998, 13(1): 8-14.
[10] 赵永平,陈永利,翁学传. 中纬度海气相互作用研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 1997, 12(1): 32-36.
[11] 汤懋苍,高晓清. 气候变化的“地心说”——关于短期气候预测的新思维[J]. 地球科学进展, 1995, 10(1): 47-56.
[12] 张人禾. ENSO循环的形成机制及其模拟与预测研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 1993, 8(6): 50-56.
[13] 朱复成. 近年来大气科学某些进展及其展望[J]. 地球科学进展, 1992, 7(5): 15-.
[14] 陈烈庭. 海气相互作用[J]. 地球科学进展, 1991, 6(5): 76-77.
阅读次数
全文


摘要