地球科学进展 ›› 1996, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (5): 504 -507. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.1996.05.0504

探索与争鸣 上一篇    下一篇

当代气候变化若干问题商榷
任振球   
  1. 中国气象科学研究院 北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:1996-01-31 出版日期:1996-10-01
  • 通讯作者: 任振球,男,1934年4月出生,副研究员,主要从事全球变化和自然灾害成因、天文气象和天地生综合研究。

THE DISCUSS OF SOME PROBLEMS OF CLIMATIC CHANGES AT THE PRESENT AGE

Ren Zhenqiu   

  1. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081
  • Received:1996-01-31 Online:1996-10-01 Published:1996-09-01

指出当代气候变暖的自然因素(主要是天文因素)和温室效应两者都相当重要,至今尚难区分何者为主;气候增暖的后果并不都是坏事,而是利弊都不可低估;历史上自然灾害群发期主要不在暖期而是冷期;未来对策不宜将注意力仅放在一种可能性上。 

This paper points out that the natural factors(mainly is astronomical factors) and the greenhouse effect of climate warming are both important,and it is difficult to define which one is more important up to now.The results of climate warming are not bad things, but its advantage and disadvantage both can not be underestimated.The troop occurring periods in history mainly occurred in the warm period but not in the cold period.The future countermeasures can not pay attention to only one probability.

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[2]王绍武.赵宗慈.未来50年中国气候变化趋势的初步研究.应用气象学报,1995,6(3): 333-342.
[3]任振球.全球变化.北京:科学出版社,1990.
[4]安芷生,吴锡浩,卢演俦,等.最近l8000年中国古环境变迁.自然科学进展—国家重点实验室通讯(试刊),1990,(2).
[5]施雅风,孔昭宸,王苏民,等,中国全新世大暖期鼎盛阶段的气候与环境.中国科学(B),1993.23(8):865-873.
[6]任振球.塔克拉玛干地区干湿波动与全球温度变化关系探讨.中国沙漠,1994,14(2):1-8.

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