地球科学进展 ›› 2008, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (10): 1070 -1078. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2008.10.1070

综述与评述 上一篇    下一篇

全球气候增暖对甘肃农作物生长影响的研究进展
邓振镛 1,张强 1,徐金芳 2,黄蕾诺 1,文小航 3,王润元 1,王小燕 4,奚立宗 4   
  1. 1.中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,甘肃省(中国气象局)干旱气候变化与减灾重点(开放)实验室,甘肃 兰州 730020;2.甘肃省气象信息中心,甘肃兰州730020;3.中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,甘肃 兰州 730000;4.甘肃省气象局,甘肃 兰州 730020
  • 收稿日期:2008-04-26 修回日期:2008-09-18 出版日期:2008-10-10
  • 通讯作者: 邓振镛 E-mail:dengzhy23@sohu.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家科技部公益行业(气象)科研专项“西北地区旱作农业对气候变暖的响应特征及其预警和应对技术研究”(编号:GYHY200806021);科技部科研院所公益研究项目“西北农作物对气候变化的响应及其评价方法”(编号:2005DIB3J100);干旱气象科学研究基金项目“气候变化对高原地区粮食安全生产的影响机理及对策研究”(编号:IAM200811);甘肃省科技攻关计划项目“甘肃干旱生态环境对全球气候变暖的响应研究”(编号:2GS042-A44-017)资助.

Research Progress of the Impact of Global Climate Warming on Crops in Gansu Province

Deng Zhenyong 1,Zhang Qiang 1,Xu Jinfang 2,Huang Leinuo 1,Wen Xiaohang 3,Wang Runyuan 1,Wang Xiaoyan 4,Xi Lizong 4   

  1. 1.Key Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province, Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, China;2.Information Center of Gansu Meteorological Bureau, Lanzhou 730020, China;3.Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000,China; 4.Gansu Meteorological Bureau,Lanzhou 730020,China
  • Received:2008-04-26 Revised:2008-09-18 Online:2008-10-10 Published:2008-10-10

系统总结了甘肃省科技攻关重大项目“甘肃干旱生态环境对全球气候变暖的响应研究”等3个课题的主要成果和研究进展。在揭示甘肃省现代气候变化基本特征是冬暖夏干的基础上,比较系统地综述了越冬作物(冬小麦、冬油菜)、喜凉作物(春小麦、马铃薯、胡麻)和喜温作物(玉米、棉花、酿酒葡萄)等8种主要农作物的生长发育、适生种植区高度和种植面积、产量和品质等对现代气候变化的响应特征。现代气候变化对甘肃农作物生长的影响非常突出,已对农作物安全生产与农业可持续发展构成了严重威胁。其研究结果为建立现代农业发展模式,旱作农业生产机制,农作物安全生产提供科学的指导意见。

This paper summarizes the major achievements and progresses in three research projects including the Gansu province′s Key Project “Study of the impact of climate warming on the arid ecological environment in Gansu”. The study revealed the characteristics of modern climate changes, which is warming in winters and dry in summers. The characteristics of the impact of climate change on overwinter crops (winter wheat, rapeseed), cool temperature-philic crops (spring wheat, potato, flax) and tropical crops (corn, cotton, wine grape) in growth and development, planting area and suitable planting altitude, and yield and quality were analyzed systematically. It showed that the crop planting was seriously influenced by modern climate change and the safe crop production and sustainable development were threatened in Gansu province. The results will provide scientific guidance for the establishment of modern agricultural models, arid agricultural production mechanism and the safety of crop production in this region.

 

中图分类号: 

[1] Chen Bangzhu,Qin Dahe,eds. Climatic Change and Ecological Environment Symposium Corpus[M]. Beijing:Meteorological Press,2004:13-20.[陈邦柱,秦大河,主编.气候变化与生态环境研讨会文集[M].北京:气象出版社,2004:13-20.]

[2] Lin Erda,Yang Xiu. Impact assessment and adaptation strategy of climatic change on agriculure[C]Chen Bangzhu,Qin Dahe,eds. Climatic Change and Ecological Environment Symposium Corpus. Beijing:Meteorological Press,2004:72-77.[林而达,杨修.气候变化对农业的影响评价及适应对策[C]陈邦柱,秦大河主编.气候变化与生态环境研讨会文集.北京:气象出版社,2004:72-77.]

[3] Wang Futang,Zhao Zongci,Wang Shili,et al. Effects of Climatic change on Agricutural Ecology[M]. Beijing:Meteorological Press,2003:96-126.[王馥棠,赵宗慈,王石立,.气候变化对农业生态的影响[M].北京:气象出版社,2003:96-126.]

[4] Liu Dexiang,Dong Anxiang,Deng Zhenyong. Impact of climate warming on agriculture in northwest China[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2005,201:119-125.[刘德祥,董安祥,邓振镛.中国西北地区气候变暖对农业的影响[J].自然资源学报,2005,201:119-125.]

[5] Liu Dexiang,Dong Anxiang,Xue Wanxiao,et al. The influence of climate warming to agriculture of Gansu[J]. Progress in Geography,2005,242:49-58.[刘德祥,董安祥,薛万孝,.气候变暖对甘肃农业的影响[J].地理科学进展,2005,242:49-58.]

[6] Liu Dexiang,Zhao Hongyan, Dong Anxiang,et al. Impact of climate warming on summer-autumn crop planting structure in Gansu province[J]. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2005,276:806-811.[刘德祥,赵红岩,董安祥,.气候变暖对甘肃夏秋季作物种植结构的影响[J].冰川冻土,2005,276:806-811.]

[7] Liu Dexiang,Dong Anxiang,Deng Zhenyong. Impact of precipitation vaciliation on agriculture for the past 43 years in northwest China[J]. Agricultural Research in Arid Areas,2005,234:179-201.[刘德祥,董安祥,邓振镛.中国西北地区近43年降水资源变化对农业的影响[J].干旱地区农业研究,2005,234:179-201.]

[8] Zhang Qiang,Deng Zhengyong,Zhao Yindong,et al.The influence of globe climate changing to agriculture over northwest China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2008,283:1 210-1 218.[张强,邓振镛,赵映东,.全球气候变化对我国西北地区农业的影响[J].生态学报,2008,283:1 210-1 218.]

[9] Yang Jinhu,Yao Yubi,Wu Sheng′an. Characterristics of precipitation anomaly during whole growth period of springwheat in the east of Yellow River in Gansu[J]. Agricultural Research in Arid Areas,2006,241:174-178.[杨金虎,姚玉璧,吴胜安.甘肃省河东春小麦全生育期降水异常的特征分析[J].干旱地区农业研究,2006,241:174-178.]

[10] Wei Feng, Bai Huzhi, Sun Bingqiang. Climate feature of steady raining during past 35 years in Gansu province[J]. Journal of Chengdu University of Information Technology,2005,204):479-482.[魏锋,白虎志,孙秉强. 甘肃省近35年连阴雨天气气候特征分析[J]. 成都信息工程学院学报,2005,204):479-482.]

[11] Wei Feng,Ding Yuguo,Bai Huzhi,et al. Analysis on the characteristic of the rainless days anomaly in flood season in Gansu province of China[J]. Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,2005, 253):249-256.[魏锋,丁裕国,白虎志,. 甘肃省近40年汛期无雨日数异常的气候特征分析[J]. 气象科学,2005,253):249-256.]

[12] Zhang Moucao,Zhao Manlai,Zhang Hongni,et al. Influence of climate change to growth and output of winter wheat in Loess Plateau region of east Gansu[J]. Agricultural Research in Arid Areas,2005,235:233-235.[张谋草,赵满来,张红妮,.气候变化对陇东塬区冬小麦生长发育及产量的影响[J].干旱地区农业研究,2005,235:233-235.]

[13] Pu Jinyong,Yao Yubi,Ma Pengli,et al. Responses of winter wheat growth to winter warming in Gansu province[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2007,186:1 237-1 241.[蒲金涌,姚玉璧,马鹏里,.甘肃省冬小麦生长发育对暖冬现象的响应[J].应用生态学报,2007,186:1 237-1 241.]

[14] Deng Zhenyong,Zhang Qiang,Liu Dexiang,et al. Effects of climate warming on cropping structure and crop growth in Gansu province[J]. Journal of Desert Research,2007,274:627-632.[邓振镛,张强,刘德祥,.气候变暖对甘肃种植业结构和农作物生长的影响[J].中国沙漠,2007,274:627-632.]

[15] Zhang Moucao,Duan Jiusheng, Li Zongyan,et al. Impact of climate warming on crop growth and climate productivity in plain area of the Loess Plateau[J]. Resources Science,2006,6:46-50.[张谋草,段金省,李宗?,.气候变暖对黄土高原塬区农作物生长和气候生产力的影响[J].资源科学,2006,6:46-50.]

[16] Pu Jinyong,Yao Xiaoying,Deng Zhenyong,et al. Impact of climate warming on winter rape planting in Gansu province[J]. Acta Agronomica Sinica,2006,329:1 397-1 401.[蒲金涌,姚小英,邓振镛,.气候变暖对甘肃冬油菜种植的影响[J].作物学报,2006,329:1 397-1 401.]

[17] Wang Runyuan,Zhang Qiang,Yang Xinggou,et al. Response of growth stages of crop to climate warming in Hexi corridor[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2007,22suppl.:1-5.[王润元,张强,杨兴国,,河西走廊绿洲农作物生长时段对变暖响应的比较研究[J]. 地球科学进展,2007,22(特刊):1-5.]

[18] Zhao Hong,Xiao Juguo,Wang Runyuan,et al. Impact of climate change on spring wheat growth in semi-arid rain feed region[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2007,223:322-327.[赵鸿,肖国举,王润元,.气候变化对半干旱雨养农业区春小麦生长的影响[J].地球科学进展,2007,223:322-327.]

[19] Liu Dexiang,Guo Junqin,Dong Anxiang,et al. Impact of climate warming on yield of summer and autumn crops in Gansu province[J]. Agricultural Research in Arid Areas,2006,244:123-128.[刘德祥,郭俊琴,董安祥,.气候变暖对甘肃夏秋作物产量的影响[J].干旱地区农业研究,2006,244:123-128.]

[20] Zhao Hong,Wang Runyuan,Wang Heling, et al. Regional diversity in response of spring wheat growth on climate change in arid or semi-arid areas[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2007,226: 636-641.[赵鸿,王润元,王鹤龄,.西北干旱半干旱区春小麦生长对气候变暖响应的区域差异[J].地球科学进展,2007,226:636-641.]

[21] Deng Zhenyong. Study of Ecological Adaptability of Crops Planting in Plateau with Arid Climate[M].Beijing: Meteorology Press:200525-38.[邓振镛.高原干旱气候作物生态适应性研究[M].北京:气象出版社,200525-38.]

[22] Yao Yubi,Deng Zhenyong,Wang Runyuan,et al. The influence of climate changes on potato growth in Gansu province[J]. Agricultural Research in Arid Areas,2006,243:16-20.[姚玉璧,邓振镛,王润元,.气候暖干化对甘肃马铃薯生产的影响[J].干旱地区农业研究,2006,243:16-20.]

[23] Yao Yubi,Deng Zhenyong,Wang Runyuan,et al. Effects of climate change on flax productivity in Gansu[J]. Chinese Journal of Oil Crop Sciences,2006,281:49-54.[姚玉璧,邓振镛,王润元,.气候变化对甘肃胡麻生产的影响[J].中国油料作物学报,2006,281:49-54.]

[24] Wang Ningzhen,Deng Zhengyong,Huang Bing,et al. The influence of climate change of Gansu East Loess Plateau to corn dry matter heavy[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2007,22suppl.:68-72.[王宁珍,邓振镛,黄斌,. 气候变化对陇东黄土高原玉米干物重的影响[J]. 地球科学进展,2007,22(特刊):68-72.]

[25] Cao Ling,Deng Zhenyong,Dou Yongxiang,et al.Influnce of climate change to oasis corn output in Shiyang river basin of Hexi corridor and countermeasure research[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2007,22suppl.):73-78.[曹玲,邓振镛,窦永祥,. 气候变化对河西走廊石羊河流域绿洲玉米产量的影响及对策研究[J]. 地球科学进展,2007,22(特刊):73-78.]

[26] Wang Runyuan,Zhang Qiang,Wang Yaolin,et al. Response of corn to climate warming in arid areas in northwest China[J]. Acta Botanica Sinica,2004,4612:1 387-1 392.[王润元,张强,王耀琳,.西北干旱区玉米对气候变暖的响应[J].植物学报,2004,4612:1 387-1 392.]

[27] Deng Zhengyong,Wang Heling,Li Gouchang,et al. A studying in influence of climate warming to cotton and its countermeasure in Hexi corridor[J].Advances in Earth Science,2008,232:160-166.[邓振镛,王鹤龄,李国昌,. 气候变暖对河西走廊棉花生产影响的成因与对策研究[J]. 地球科学进展,2008,232:160-166.]

[28] Ma Xingxiang,Wei Yuguo,Jiang Jufang. A Study on soil moisture change and crop water consumption characterristics in the grape new planting district at desert edge[J]. Agricultural Research in Arid Areas,2006,244:58-61.[马兴祥,魏育国,蒋菊芳.沙漠边缘新垦酿造葡萄园土壤水分及作物耗水特性研究[J].干旱地区农业研究,2006,244:58-61.]

[29] Liu Mingchun,Zhang Qiang,Deng Zhenyong,et al. Meteorological conditions for wine grape growth in Hexi arid region[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2007,274:1 656-1 663. [刘明春,张强,邓振镛,.河西干旱区酿酒葡萄生长的气象条件[J].生态学报,2007,274:1 656-1 663.]

[30] Liu Mingchun,Lü Shihua.Quantitative analysis and evaluation on eco-climatic rescoures of winemaking grapes in Hexi corridor[J]. Journal of Desert Research,2006,266:976-981.[刘明春,吕世华.河西走廊酿酒葡萄生态气候资源定量分析及评价[J].中国沙漠,2006,266:976-981.]

[1] 单薪蒙, 温家洪, 王军, 胡恒智. 深度不确定性下的灾害风险稳健决策方法评述[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(9): 911-921.
[2] 段伟利, 邹珊, 陈亚宁, 李稚, 方功焕. 18792015年巴尔喀什湖水位变化及其主要影响因素分析[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(9): 950-961.
[3] 王澄海, 张晟宁, 张飞民, 李课臣, 杨凯. 论全球变暖背景下中国西北地区降水增加问题[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(9): 980-989.
[4] 王慧,张璐,石兴东,李栋梁. 2000年后青藏高原区域气候的一些新变化[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(8): 785-796.
[5] 田凤云,吴成来,张贺,林朝晖. 基于 CAS-ESM2的青藏高原蒸散发的模拟与预估[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(8): 797-809.
[6] 顾菊, 张勇, 刘时银, 王欣. 青藏高原冰川底部滑动估算方法研究: 进展、问题与展望[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(3): 307-316.
[7] 张子洋, 闫明, MULVANEY Robert, 季峻峰, 效存德, 刘雷保, 安春雷. 东南极 LGB69冰芯 17122001年气温变化记录的初步研究[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(2): 172-184.
[8] 王飞, 陶宇, 欧维新. 景观格局变化的水质净化服务响应关系研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(1): 17-28.
[9] 崔林丽, 史军, 杜华强. 植被物候的遥感提取及其影响因素研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2021, 36(1): 9-16.
[10] 龙上敏,刘秦玉,郑小童,程旭华,白学志,高臻. 南大洋海温长期变化研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020, 35(9): 962-977.
[11] 蔡运龙. 生态问题的社会经济检视[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020, 35(7): 742-749.
[12] 萧凌波. 17361911年华北饥荒的时空分布及其与气候、灾害、收成的关系[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020, 35(5): 478-487.
[13] 熊建国, 李有利, 张培震. 夷平面研究新进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020, 35(4): 378-388.
[14] 武登云, 任治坤, 吕红华, 刘金瑞, 哈广浩, 张弛, 朱孟浩. 冲积扇形态与沉积特征及其动力学控制因素:进展与展望[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020, 35(4): 389-403.
[15] 胡利民,石学法,叶君,张钰莹. 北极东西伯利亚陆架沉积有机碳的源汇过程研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2020, 35(10): 1073-1086.
阅读次数
全文


摘要