地球科学进展 ›› 2016, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (7): 764 -773. doi: 10.11867/j.issn.1001-8166.2016.07.0764.

上一篇    

中印两国碳排放形势及目标比较研究
杨占红( ), 罗宏 *( ), 薛婕, 张保留   
  1. 中国环境科学研究院 环境与经济研究室,北京 100012
  • 收稿日期:2016-04-23 修回日期:2016-06-15 出版日期:2016-07-20
  • 通讯作者: 罗宏 E-mail:yangzh@craes.org.cn;luohong@craes.org.cn
  • 基金资助:
    能源基金会中国可持续能源项目“大气污染防治对能源布局和结构的影响研究”(编号:G-1406-21486)资助

Comparative Study of the Carbon Emission Situation and Goals between China and India

Zhanhong Yang( ), Hong Luo *( ), Jie Xue, Baoliu Zhang   

  1. Department of Environment & Economy, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, 100012,China
  • Received:2016-04-23 Revised:2016-06-15 Online:2016-07-20 Published:2016-07-10
  • Contact: Hong Luo E-mail:yangzh@craes.org.cn;luohong@craes.org.cn
  • Supported by:
    Project supported by the Energy Foundation China Sustainable Energy Program “Study on the effects of air pollution prevention on energy distribution and structure”(No.G-1406-21486)

中印两国作为两大发展中国家和人口大国,面临着发展经济和应对气候变化的双重挑战,两国均在积极开展碳减排,印度还承受着“被对标”中国的压力。以中印两国为对照分析样本,以长序列统计值为基础分析数据,在详细分析比较碳排放历程的基础上,从经济发展情况、能源储量及消费情况等多个维度对比分析两国碳排放面临的形势,围绕中印两国的碳减排目标,测算和比较了目标实现后的碳排放强度和能源结构。比较结果表明:中国碳排放总量大于印度,但排放总量增速、人均排放增速均明显低于印度,碳排放强度下降速度明显快于印度;中国承诺的碳减排的努力大于印度。但随着印度能源结构的不断调整,将逐步优于中国。

As the two large developing and populous countries, China and India face the dual challenges of economic development and climate change. Both of them are active in carbon emissions reduction, while India also bears the pressure of being “benchmarked” against China. With taking China and India as the sample of a comparative analysis, and the statistical value of a long sequence as the basic analysis data, based on the detailed analysis and comparison of carbon emissions history, the carbon emissions situation of the two countries from various dimensions including economic development, energy reserves and consumption, etc. were comparatively analyzed. The carbon intensity and energy structure after achieving the objectives were measured and compared by focusing on the carbon emissions reduction targets in China and India. The comparative results show that: China’s total carbon emissions are greater than India’s, but the growth rate of emissions, per capita emissions are significantly lower than India’s, while the carbon intensity decreases significantly faster than that of India. China has taken more efforts to make commitments to carbon reduction than India. With India’s energy structure adjustment, the situation will be gradually better than that in China.

中图分类号: 

图1 中印两国CO 2排放及经济增长情况
碳排放原始数据来源于参考文献[2];GDP以2005年不变美元计,原始数据来源于参考文献[3]
Fig.1 CO 2 emissions and economic growth in China and India
The carbon emission raw data derived from reference[2]; GDP were in constant 2005 dollars, the initial data derived from reference[3]
图2 中印两国人均CO 2排放量及CO 2排放强度情况
人口数据来源于参考文献[3]
Fig.2 The per capita CO 2 emission and CO 2 emission intensity in China and India
The population data derived from reference[3]
表1 中印两国宏观经济发展情况
Table1 Macro economic development of China and India
表2 中印能源储量及生产情况
Table 2 The energy reserves and production in China and India
图3 中印两国能源消费情况(原始数据来源于参考文献[2])
Fig.3 The energy consumption in China and India(the energy data derived from reference[2])
图4 中印两国人均能耗及能耗强度情况(原始数据来源于参考文献[2])
Fig.4 Per capita energy consumption and energy consumption intensity in China and India (the energy data derived from reference[2])
图5 中国能源消费结构发展趋势(原始数据来源于参考文献[2])
Fig.5 The trend of energy consumption structure in China(the energy data derived from reference[2])
图6 印度能源消费结构发展趋势(原始数据来源于参考文献[2])
Fig.6 The trend of energy consumption structure in India(the energy data derived from reference[2])
图7 中印两国单位能耗碳排放情况(原始数据来源于参考文献[2])
Fig.7 Carbon emissions of energy consumption in China and India(the energy data derived from reference[2])
表3 中印两国碳减排目标对比表
Table 3 Comparison of carbon emission reduction targets in China and India
表4 中印两国实现低碳发展目标后的碳排放情况
Table 4 Carbon emissions from the two countries to achieve the goal of low carbon development
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